ASEAN Automotive Outlook, 2018

Vehicle Sales to Cross 3.5 Million Units in 2018 as Japanese Carmakers Continue to Lead the Market in Indonesia and Thailand

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Sustained economic growth and infrastructure development should drive ASEAN automotive market growth forecast to 2024. Thailand is expected to register the highest growth while Indonesia will continue to be the largest market.This study presents a detailed overview and analysis of the trends in the automotive markets in ASEAN with particular focus on the significant trends in the three key markets of Malaysia, Indonesia, and Thailand. It analyzes the key trends which shaped the market in 2017 and also reflects on the trends that are likely to present themselves in 2018. It also analyzes these future trends and the impact they are likely to have on the key vehicle segments across the three markets.

Research Scope

  • ASEAN Automotive Outlook including Key Market Trends in 2017 and 2018 and Disruptive trends in 2018
  • Malaysia Automotive Outlook including TIV 2013-2017, Segment wise Breakdown in 2017, Key OEMs and Market Share in 2017, Key Market Trends in 2018, Segment wise Breakdown in 2018, Key OEMs and Market Share in 2018, 2017-2024 Unit Shipment Forecasts, and Key Takeaways – Malaysia
  • Indonesia Automotive Outlook including TIV in 2013-2017, Segment wise Breakdown in 2017, Key OEMs and Market Share in 2017, Key Market Trends in 2018, Segment wise Breakdown in 2018, Key OEMs and Market Share in 2018, 2017-2024 Unit Shipment Forecasts, and Key Takeaways – Indonesia
  • Thailand Automotive Outlook TIV in 2013-2017, Segment wise Breakdown in 2017, Key OEMs and Market Share in 2017, Key Market Trends in 2018, Segment wise Breakdown in 2018, Key OEMs and Market Share in 2018, 2017-2024 Unit Shipment Forecasts, and Key Takeaways – Thailand

The base year for the study is 2017, with the forecast period being 2018 to 2024.


Key Issues Addressed

  • What is likely to be the market performance and outlook in ASEAN in 2017 and 2018?
  • What is likely to be the market performance and outlook in the three key automotive markets in the ASEAN in the future?
  • What are the key trends affecting the automotive market ASEAN during 2018?
  • What are the key trends in the ASEAN countries of Thailand, Indonesia, and Malaysia in 2017 and 2018?
  • Which vehicle segments are preferred and which have a higher growth potential in these markets in 2017 and 2018?
  • Which are the key OEMs in the ASEAN automotive market in 2017 and 2018?
  • What are the key takeaways for the three key markets of Malaysia, Indonesia and Thailand during the forecast period?

 

 

Table of Contents

Executive Summary2017 Key HighlightsDisruptive Trends for 2018Predictions for 2018Top Trends in the ASEAN Automotive Market in 2018Research Scope and SegmentationResearch ScopeProduct SegmentationProduct DefinitionsASEAN Automotive OutlookKey Market Trends in ASEAN* in 2018Trend 1—Sustained Economic GrowthTrend 2—Infrastructure DevelopmentTrend 3—Launch of New Models and FaceliftsTrend 4—Growth in ExportsTrend 5—New Automotive PoliciesTotal ASEAN Market Unit ShipmentsIndonesia Automotive OutlookIndonesia—Unit Shipments from 2013 to 2017Indonesia—Percent Unit Shipment by PV and CV in 2017Indonesia—Key OEMs and Market Share over 2015–2017Indonesia—Key Market Trends Anticipated in 2018Trend 1—New Model Launches and Promotional CampaignsTrend 2—Monetary Stimulus Trend 3—Political Year and Asian GamesTrend 4—Pressures due to Fiscal Deficit Trend 5—Positive Consumer SentimentTrend 6—Export GrowthTrend 7—Increasing Energy PriceTrend 8—New Auto PolicyIndonesia—Percent Unit Shipment Forecast by PV and CV TypeIndonesia—Key OEMs and Market Share in 2018Indonesia—Unit Shipment Forecast Scenario AnalysisIndonesia—Key ConclusionsMalaysia Automotive OutlookMalaysia—Unit Shipments from 2013 to 2017 Malaysia—Percent Unit Shipment by PV and CV Type in 2017Malaysia—Key OEMs and Market Share from 2015 to 2017Malaysia—Key Market Trends in 2018Trend 1—High Household DebtTrend 2—Growth in WagesTrend 3—New Model Launches/Promotional CampaignsTrend 4—National Automotive Policy UpdateTrend 5—Growth of Alternate Mobility SolutionsTrend 6—Stringent Loan ApprovalTrend 7—Infrastructure DevelopmentTrend 8—Strengthening RinggitMalaysia—Percent Unit Shipment Forecast by PV and CV TypeMalaysia—Key OEMs and Market Share in 2018Malaysia—Unit Shipment Forecast Scenario AnalysisMalaysia—Key ConclusionsThailand Automotive OutlookThailand—Unit Shipments from 2013 to 2017 Thailand—Percent Unit Shipment by PV and CV in 2017Thailand—Key OEMs and Market Share from 2015 to 2017Thailand—Key Market Trends in 2018Trend 1—Private Sector RevitalizationTrend 2—Infrastructure DevelopmentTrend 3—Launch of New Vehicle ModelsTrend 4—Export ResurgenceTrend 5—High Household Debt Trend 6—Weak/Low Agricultural PricesTrend 7—Adverse Impact of Natural CalamitiesTrend 8—New Excise Tax CalculationThailand—Percent Unit Shipment Forecast by PV and CV TypeThailand—Key OEMs and Market Share in 2018Thailand—Unit Shipment Forecast Scenario AnalysisThailand—Key ConclusionsGrowth Opportunities and Companies to ActionGrowth Opportunity 1—Increase in Private ConsumptionGrowth Opportunity 2—Growth in Infrastructure InvestmentGrowth Opportunity 3—Export GrowthGrowth Opportunity 4—Governments’ Energy-Efficient ProgramsStrategic Imperatives for Success and Growth The Last WordThe Last Word—3 Big PredictionsLegal DisclaimerAppendixTable of AcronymsTable of Acronyms (continued)List of ExhibitsList of Exhibits (continued)List of Exhibits (continued)List of Exhibits (continued)List of Exhibits (continued)List of Exhibits (continued)Regulatory ForeSightTM—Indonesia: Key Policy Movements over the Next 3–5 YearsRegulatory Foresight—5 Year HorizonRegulatory Foresight—Carbon Emission Tax Regulatory Foresight—Low Carbon Emission ProgramRegulatory Foresight—B30: Biodiesel & Bioethanol AdoptionRegulatory Foresight—EV Acceleration ProgramGovernment PoliciesFrost & Sullivan’s ASEAN Regulatory ForeSightTM The Regulatory ForeSightTMRegulatory ForeSightTM—Malaysia: Key Policy Movements over the Next 3–5 YearsRegulatory Foresight—3-5 Year HorizonRegulatory Foresight—Implementation of ESC Regulatory Foresight—Introduction of eCallRegulatory Foresight—Introduction of B10 MandateRegulatory Foresight—Vehicle End of Life PolicyRegulatory ForeSightTM—Thailand: Key Policy Movements over the Next 3–5 YearsRegulatory Foresight—3-5 Year HorizonRegulatory Development—Change in Free-zone Scheme Regulatory Development—Emission Standards Implementation Regulatory Development—EV Policy & Implementation IncentivesThe Frost & Sullivan StoryThe Frost & Sullivan StoryValue Proposition—Future of Your Company & CareerGlobal PerspectiveIndustry Convergence360º Research PerspectiveImplementation ExcellenceOur Blue Ocean Strategy

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