Global Electric LCV Market Opportunity Analysis, Forecast to 2025
Global Electric LCV Market Opportunity Analysis, Forecast to 2025
The Electric Light Commercial Vehicle (eLCV) Market is Poised to Reach 1.09 Million Units Globally by 2025, Driven by Falling Battery Prices and Increasing Urban Emission Restrictions
22-Jan-2019
North America
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Description
The demand for electric light-duty (LD) trucks will surge globally with the framing of strict emission regulations. This study provides an overview of the key regional trends in light commercial vehicles (LCVs) ranging up to 6 tonnes of the global electric truck market between 2016 and 2025. Several legislative and environmental factors favouring the electrification of trucks and the top challenges are studied in brief. Frost & Sullivan analysts predict the electric powertrain penetration in the global LCV market to be 15.9% and forecast that the eLCV market will grow progressively at a CAGR of 28.2% between 2017 and 2025. China will clearly dominate, with an approximately 44% share of the global eLCV market by 2025, driven mainly by aggressive incentive structures for fully electric and fuel cell electric vehicles, technology readiness and the installation of recharging stations in large scale. Europe and Japan are expected to be the next largest markets for eLCVs after China, with more number of product line-ups planned by the native manufacturers. North America will follow suit with approximately a 6.4% market share.
Electrification is poised to pick up pace in the short term with falling battery prices. As the demand for batteries increases, prices are expected to fall below the $100 per KWh by 2023 with high battery production capacities of 250+ GWh globally. With increasing battery availability and technology readiness, fully-electric vehicles will gain prominence and largely used across all regions by 2025. This trend will also be influenced by reducing vehicle purchase costs. Fuel cell technology will gain traction by 2020 due to advantages in packaging size and weight of the components. China, with a large number of fuel cell vehicles in the market by 2020, will be the frontrunner with approximately a 12.5% share of the total eLCV market. As the latest EV technologies are expected to satisfy market sentiments, huge investments from existing OEMs and start-ups are expected in the near term. However, electric trucks will have to prove their robustness and reliability in real-world commercial vehicle duty cycles in which diesel and gasoline powertrains have been tested and improved for over 100 years. The resulting analysis shows that sales of electric trucks will increase significantly post 2020, influenced by reducing battery costs, stringent emission regulations, broader incentive policies and developments in regards to the charging infrastructure. OEMs have announced firm production plans to manufacture electric trucks with range-extended powertrains for numerous commercial applications. Along with technology acquisition, intense competition is foreseen among manufacturers to gain market share. With the technology evolution, improving economics and policy changes across the globe, the market opportunity for electric LD trucks is forecast to reach 1.09 million units by 2025.
Table of Contents
Electric LCV Market Outlook 2025
Technology Advancements Aiding Electric Trucks
Factors Driving Electrification
Top Challenges in the Adoption of Electric Trucks
Snapshot of the Global LCV Market in 2025
Snapshot of the Global eLCV Market in 2025
Future eLCV Strategy of Key OEMs
Platformisation of eLCVs by Key OEMs
Research Scope
Powertrain Technology Segmentation
Definitions
Research Aims and Objectives
Research Background
Key Factors Impacting Electrification
Legislative Factors Analysis
Economic Factors Analysis
Infrastructure Factors Analysis
Technological Factors Analysis
Global eLCV Market Forecast
Market Scenario Analysis of eLCVs
2025 Regional eLCV Outlook
Regional eLCV Launches of Key OEMs
Regional Price Analysis of eLCVs
Key Components of EVs
Electric Driveline Architecture Benchmarking
Electric Motor Roadmap
Electric Motor Benchmarking
Power Electronics Roadmap
Future of Battery Chemistries
Lithium Ion Batteries Comparative Analysis
Lithium Ion Batteries Continue to Make Promising Gains
Battery Production Capacity to 2025
CHAdeMO Charging
Charging Interface Initiative (CHARIN)
Fuel Cell Technology Future Roadmap
China—eLCV Market: Key Influencing Trends
Key Influencing Trends
Fuel Cell Electric LCVs—Purchase Incentive by Regional Governments
China VI Emission Targets
China—eLCV Product Portfolio and Launch Roadmap
China—eLCV Market Adoption Forecast by Type
China—Market Scenario Analysis of eLCVs
Profile—Shaanxi
Profile—Cherry Karry
Profile—Dongfeng
Europe—eLCV Market: Key Influencing Trends
Incentives and Subsidies
Emission Reduction and Fuel Efficiency Targets
Charging Infrastructure
Public Charging Points
Product Portfolio and Launch Roadmap
Product Benchmarking
Vehicle Range and Battery Capacity
Powertrain Split
Electric LCV Sales Scenario
Profile—DHL Street Scooter
Profile—Daimler
Profile—Piaggio Porter Electric
North America—eLCV Market: Key Influencing Trends
Incentives and Support Systems
Key Trends in the eLCV Market
Product Portfolio and Launch Roadmap
Powertrain Split
Electric LCV Sales Scenario
Vehicle Range and Battery Capacity
Profile—VIA Motors
Latin America—eLCV Market: Key Influencing Trends
Incentives and Support Systems
Product Portfolio and Launch Roadmap
Powertrain Split
Electric LCV Sales Scenario
Profile—Renault
Profile—Volkswagen
Asia-Pacific—eLCV Market: Key Influencing Trends
Government Mandate and Support
Product Portfolio and Launch Roadmap
OEM Activities
Powertrain Split
Electric LCV Sales Scenario
Profile—Mitsubishi
Profile—Treeletrik
Profile—ACE-EV
India—eLCV Market: Key Influencing Trends
Key Drivers for Electrification
Product Portfolio and Launch Roadmap
Powertrain Split
Electric LCV Sales Scenario
Profile—Mahindra
Growth Opportunity
Strategic Imperatives for the Electric LCV Market
Key Conclusions and Future Outlook
The Last Word—3 Big Predictions
Legal Disclaimer
Market Engineering Methodology
List of Exhibits

- 1. Electric LCV Market: Legislative Factors, Global, 2017–2025
- 2. Electric LCV Market: Economic Factors, Global, 2017–2025
- 3. Electric LCV Market: Infrastructure Factors, Global, 2017–2025
- 4. Electric LCV Market: Technological Factors, Global, 2017–2025
- 5. Electric LCV Market: Electric LCV Motor Technology Benchmarking, Global, 2017–2025
- 6. Total EV Market: Comparative Analysis of Lithium Ion Batteries, Global, 2017
- 7. Electric LCV Market: EV Purchase Incentive by Key Regional Governments, China, 2018
- 8. Electric LCV Market: China VI Emission Targets, China, 2018
- 9. Electric LCV Market: Key OEMs’ Product Portfolio and Launch Roadmap, China, 2017–2025
- 10. Electric LCV Market: Key Incentives and Subsidies in Select Markets, Europe, 2018
- 11. Electric LCV Market: Key OEMs Emission Reduction and Fuel Efficiency Targets, Europe, 2015–2020
- 12. Electric LCV Market: Charging Infrastructure in Key Regions, Europe, 2017
- 13. Electric LCV Market: Product Portfolio and Launch Roadmap of Key OEMs, Europe, 2017–2025
- 14. Electric LCV Market: Select EV Models Benchmarking, Europe, 2017
- 15. Electric LCV Market: Incentives and Support Systems in Select Regions, North America, 2017
- 16. Electric LCV Market: Key OEMs’ Product Portfolio and Launch Roadmap, North America, 2017–2025
- 17. Electric LCV Market: Incentives and Support Systems, Latin America, 2017
- 18. Electric LCV Market: Product Portfolio and Launch Roadmap of Key OEMs, Latin America, 2017–2025
- 19. Electric LCV Market: Government Mandate and Support, Asia-Pacific, 2017
- 20. Electric LCV Market: Product Portfolio and Launch Roadmap of Key OEMs, Asia-Pacific, 2017–2025
- 21. Electric LCV Market: Product Portfolio and Launch Roadmap of Key OEMs, India, 2017–2025

- 1. LCV Market: Unit Shipment Forecast, Global, 2025
- 2. Electric LCV Market: Unit Shipment Forecast by Region, Global, 2025
- 3. LCV Market: Powertrain Product/Technology Segmentation, Global, 2017–2025
- 4. Electric LCV Market: Powertrain Product/Technology Segmentation, Global, 2017–2025
- 5. Electric LCV Market: Unit Forecast by Region, Global, 2017 and 2025
- 6. Electric LCV Market: Unit Forecast Scenario Analysis, Global, 2017–2025
- 7. Electric LCV Market: Percent Unit Sales Forecast by Region and Technology, Global, 2025
- 8. Electric LCV Market: Regional eLCV Launches of OEMs, Global, 2017–2025
- 9. Electric LCV Market: Regional Price Range for BEV LCVs, Global, 2017–2025
- 10. Electric LCV Market: Regional Price Range for FCEV LCVs, Global, 2017–2025
- 11. Electric LCV Market: Electric LCV Driveline Architecture, Global, 2017–2025
- 12. Electric LCV Market: Electric LCV Motor Technology Roadmap, Global, 2017–2030
- 13. Electric LCV Market: Electric LCVs—Power Electronics Technology Roadmap, Global, 2017–2030
- 14. Total EV Market: Future Battery Chemistries in EVs—Technology Roadmap, Global, 2017–2030
- 15. Total EV Market: Battery Technology Roadmap, Global, 2017–2025
- 16. Total EV Market: Planned Battery Production Capacity, Global, 2017 and 2025
- 17. Electric LCV Market: Electric LCV—CHAdeMO Charging Roadmap, Global, 2017–2025
- 18. Electric LCV Market: Electric LCV—Roadmap for Charging Interface Initiative, Global, 2017–2025
- 19. Electric LCV Market: FCEV Technology Roadmap, Global, 2017–2030
- 20. Electric LCV Market: Key Influencing Trends, China, 2017–2025
- 21. Electric LCV Market: Key Influencing Trends, China, 2018
- 22. Electric LCV Market: Percent Unit Adoption Forecast by Powertrain, China, 2025
- 23. Electric LCV Market: Unit Sales Scenario Analysis Forecast, China, 2017–2025
- 24. Electric LCV Market: Key Influencing Trends, Europe, 2017–2025
- 25. Electric LCV Market: Availability of Public Charging Points, Europe, 2017–2025
- 26. Electric LCV Market: Vehicle Range and Battery Capacity of Key Models, Europe, 2017
- 27. Electric LCV Market: Percent Unit Adoption Forecast by Powertrain, Europe, 2025
- 28. Electric LCV Market: Unit Sales Scenario Analysis Forecast, Europe, 2017–2025
- 29. Electric LCV Market: Key Influencing Trends, North America, 2017–2025
- 30. Electric LCV Market: Percent Unit Adoption Forecast by Powertrain, North America, 2025
- 31. Electric LCV Market: Unit Sales Scenario Analysis Forecast, North America, 2017–2025
- 32. Electric LCV Market: Vehicle Range and Battery Capacity of Key Models, North America, 2018
- 33. Electric LCV Market: Key Influencing Trends, Latin America, 2017–2025
- 34. Electric LCV Market: Percent Unit Adoption Forecast by Powertrain, Latin America, 2025
- 35. Electric LCV Market: Unit Sales Scenario Analysis Forecast, Latin America, 2017–2025
- 36. Electric LCV Market: Key Influencing Trends, Asia-Pacific, 2017–2025
- 37. Electric LCV Market: Percent Unit Adoption Forecast by Powertrain, Asia-Pacific, 2025
- 38. Electric LCV Market: Unit Sales Scenario Analysis Forecast, Asia-Pacific, 2017–2025
- 39. Electric LCV Market: Key Influencing Trends, India, 2017–2025
- 40. Electric LCV Market: Key Drivers for Electrification, India, 2017
- 41. Electric LCV Market: Percent Unit Adoption Forecast by Powertrain, India, 2025
- 42. Electric LCV Market: Unit Sales Scenario Analysis Forecast, India, 2017–2025
- 43. Electric LCV Market: Key Conclusions and Future Outlook, Global, 2017–2025
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Table of Contents | | Executive Summary~ || Electric LCV Market Outlook 2025~ || Technology Advancements Aiding Electric Trucks~ || Factors Driving Electrification~ || Top Challenges in the Adoption of Electric Trucks~ || Snapshot of the Global LCV Market in 2025~ || Snapshot of the Global eLCV Market in 2025~ || Future eLCV Strategy of Key OEMs~ || Platformisation of eLCVs by Key OEMs~ | Research Scope and Segmentation~ || Research Scope~ || Powertrain Technology Segmentation~ || Definitions~ || Research Aims and Objectives~ || Research Background~ | Market Environment and Dynamics~ || Key Factors Impacting Electrification~ || Legislative Factors Analysis~ || Economic Factors Analysis~ || Infrastructure Factors Analysis~ || Technological Factors Analysis~ | Global Market Snapshot of eLCVs~ || Global eLCV Market Forecast~ || Market Scenario Analysis of eLCVs~ || 2025 Regional eLCV Outlook~ || Regional eLCV Launches of Key OEMs~ || Regional Price Analysis of eLCVs~ | Electrification Technology Overview~ || Key Components of EVs~ || Electric Driveline Architecture Benchmarking~ || Electric Motor Roadmap~ || Electric Motor Benchmarking~ || Power Electronics Roadmap~ || Future of Battery Chemistries~ || Lithium Ion Batteries Comparative Analysis~ || Lithium Ion Batteries Continue to Make Promising Gains~ || Battery Production Capacity to 2025~ || CHAdeMO Charging~ || Charging Interface Initiative (CHARIN)~ || Fuel Cell Technology Future Roadmap~ | Regional eLCV Market Analysis—China~ || China—eLCV Market: Key Influencing Trends~ || Key Influencing Trends~ || Fuel Cell Electric LCVs—Purchase Incentive by Regional Governments~ || China VI Emission Targets~ || China—eLCV Product Portfolio and Launch Roadmap~ || China—eLCV Market Adoption Forecast by Type~ || China—Market Scenario Analysis of eLCVs~ || Profile—Shaanxi~ || Profile—Cherry Karry~ || Profile—Dongfeng~ | Regional eLCV Market Analysis—Europe~ || Europe—eLCV Market: Key Influencing Trends~ || Incentives and Subsidies~ || Emission Reduction and Fuel Efficiency Targets~ || Charging Infrastructure~ || Public Charging Points~ || Product Portfolio and Launch Roadmap~ || Product Benchmarking~ || Vehicle Range and Battery Capacity~ || Powertrain Split~ || Electric LCV Sales Scenario~ || Profile—DHL Street Scooter~ || Profile—Daimler~ || Profile—Piaggio Porter Electric~ | Regional eLCV Market Analysis—North America~ || North America—eLCV Market: Key Influencing Trends~ || Incentives and Support Systems~ || Key Trends in the eLCV Market~ || Product Portfolio and Launch Roadmap~ || Powertrain Split~ || Electric LCV Sales Scenario~ || Vehicle Range and Battery Capacity~ || Profile—VIA Motors~ | Regional eLCV Market Analysis—Latin America~ || Latin America—eLCV Market: Key Influencing Trends~ || Incentives and Support Systems~ || Product Portfolio and Launch Roadmap~ || Powertrain Split~ || Electric LCV Sales Scenario~ || Profile—Renault~ || Profile—Volkswagen~ | Regional eLCV Market Analysis—Asia-Pacific~ || Asia-Pacific—eLCV Market: Key Influencing Trends~ || Government Mandate and Support~ || Product Portfolio and Launch Roadmap~ || OEM Activities~ || Powertrain Split~ || Electric LCV Sales Scenario~ || Profile—Mitsubishi~ || Profile—Treeletrik~ || Profile—ACE-EV~ | Regional eLCV Market Analysis—India~ || India—eLCV Market: Key Influencing Trends~ || Key Drivers for Electrification~ || Product Portfolio and Launch Roadmap~ || Powertrain Split~ || Electric LCV Sales Scenario~ || Profile—Mahindra~ | Growth Opportunities and Companies to Action~ || Growth Opportunity~ || Strategic Imperatives for the Electric LCV Market~ | Key Conclusions and Future Outlook~ || Key Conclusions and Future Outlook~ || The Last Word—3 Big Predictions~ || Legal Disclaimer~ | Appendix~ || Market Engineering Methodology~ || List of Exhibits~ |
List of Charts and Figures | 1. Electric LCV Market: Legislative Factors, Global, 2017–2025~ 2. Electric LCV Market: Economic Factors, Global, 2017–2025~ 3. Electric LCV Market: Infrastructure Factors, Global, 2017–2025~ 4. Electric LCV Market: Technological Factors, Global, 2017–2025~ 5. Electric LCV Market: Electric LCV Motor Technology Benchmarking, Global, 2017–2025~ 6. Total EV Market: Comparative Analysis of Lithium Ion Batteries, Global, 2017~ 7. Electric LCV Market: EV Purchase Incentive by Key Regional Governments, China, 2018~ 8. Electric LCV Market: China VI Emission Targets, China, 2018~ 9. Electric LCV Market: Key OEMs’ Product Portfolio and Launch Roadmap, China, 2017–2025~ 10. Electric LCV Market: Key Incentives and Subsidies in Select Markets, Europe, 2018~ 11. Electric LCV Market: Key OEMs Emission Reduction and Fuel Efficiency Targets, Europe, 2015–2020~ 12. Electric LCV Market: Charging Infrastructure in Key Regions, Europe, 2017~ 13. Electric LCV Market: Product Portfolio and Launch Roadmap of Key OEMs, Europe, 2017–2025~ 14. Electric LCV Market: Select EV Models Benchmarking, Europe, 2017~ 15. Electric LCV Market: Incentives and Support Systems in Select Regions, North America, 2017~ 16. Electric LCV Market: Key OEMs’ Product Portfolio and Launch Roadmap, North America, 2017–2025~ 17. Electric LCV Market: Incentives and Support Systems, Latin America, 2017~ 18. Electric LCV Market: Product Portfolio and Launch Roadmap of Key OEMs, Latin America, 2017–2025~ 19. Electric LCV Market: Government Mandate and Support, Asia-Pacific, 2017~ 20. Electric LCV Market: Product Portfolio and Launch Roadmap of Key OEMs, Asia-Pacific, 2017–2025~ 21. Electric LCV Market: Product Portfolio and Launch Roadmap of Key OEMs, India, 2017–2025~| 1. LCV Market: Unit Shipment Forecast, Global, 2025~ 2. Electric LCV Market: Unit Shipment Forecast by Region, Global, 2025~ 3. LCV Market: Powertrain Product/Technology Segmentation, Global, 2017–2025~ 4. Electric LCV Market: Powertrain Product/Technology Segmentation, Global, 2017–2025~ 5. Electric LCV Market: Unit Forecast by Region, Global, 2017 and 2025~ 6. Electric LCV Market: Unit Forecast Scenario Analysis, Global, 2017–2025~ 7. Electric LCV Market: Percent Unit Sales Forecast by Region and Technology, Global, 2025~ 8. Electric LCV Market: Regional eLCV Launches of OEMs, Global, 2017–2025~ 9. Electric LCV Market: Regional Price Range for BEV LCVs, Global, 2017–2025~ 10. Electric LCV Market: Regional Price Range for FCEV LCVs, Global, 2017–2025~ 11. Electric LCV Market: Electric LCV Driveline Architecture, Global, 2017–2025~ 12. Electric LCV Market: Electric LCV Motor Technology Roadmap, Global, 2017–2030~ 13. Electric LCV Market: Electric LCVs—Power Electronics Technology Roadmap, Global, 2017–2030~ 14. Total EV Market: Future Battery Chemistries in EVs—Technology Roadmap, Global, 2017–2030~ 15. Total EV Market: Battery Technology Roadmap, Global, 2017–2025~ 16. Total EV Market: Planned Battery Production Capacity, Global, 2017 and 2025~ 17. Electric LCV Market: Electric LCV—CHAdeMO Charging Roadmap, Global, 2017–2025~ 18. Electric LCV Market: Electric LCV—Roadmap for Charging Interface Initiative, Global, 2017–2025~ 19. Electric LCV Market: FCEV Technology Roadmap, Global, 2017–2030~ 20. Electric LCV Market: Key Influencing Trends, China, 2017–2025~ 21. Electric LCV Market: Key Influencing Trends, China, 2018~ 22. Electric LCV Market: Percent Unit Adoption Forecast by Powertrain, China, 2025~ 23. Electric LCV Market: Unit Sales Scenario Analysis Forecast, China, 2017–2025~ 24. Electric LCV Market: Key Influencing Trends, Europe, 2017–2025~ 25. Electric LCV Market: Availability of Public Charging Points, Europe, 2017–2025~ 26. Electric LCV Market: Vehicle Range and Battery Capacity of Key Models, Europe, 2017~ 27. Electric LCV Market: Percent Unit Adoption Forecast by Powertrain, Europe, 2025~ 28. Electric LCV Market: Unit Sales Scenario Analysis Forecast, Europe, 2017–2025~ 29. Electric LCV Market: Key Influencing Trends, North America, 2017–2025~ 30. Electric LCV Market: Percent Unit Adoption Forecast by Powertrain, North America, 2025~ 31. Electric LCV Market: Unit Sales Scenario Analysis Forecast, North America, 2017–2025~ 32. Electric LCV Market: Vehicle Range and Battery Capacity of Key Models, North America, 2018~ 33. Electric LCV Market: Key Influencing Trends, Latin America, 2017–2025~ 34. Electric LCV Market: Percent Unit Adoption Forecast by Powertrain, Latin America, 2025~ 35. Electric LCV Market: Unit Sales Scenario Analysis Forecast, Latin America, 2017–2025~ 36. Electric LCV Market: Key Influencing Trends, Asia-Pacific, 2017–2025~ 37. Electric LCV Market: Percent Unit Adoption Forecast by Powertrain, Asia-Pacific, 2025~ 38. Electric LCV Market: Unit Sales Scenario Analysis Forecast, Asia-Pacific, 2017–2025~ 39. Electric LCV Market: Key Influencing Trends, India, 2017–2025~ 40. Electric LCV Market: Key Drivers for Electrification, India, 2017~ 41. Electric LCV Market: Percent Unit Adoption Forecast by Powertrain, India, 2025~ 42. Electric LCV Market: Unit Sales Scenario Analysis Forecast, India, 2017–2025~ 43. Electric LCV Market: Key Conclusions and Future Outlook, Global, 2017–2025~ |
Author | Darwin Sebas |
Industries | Automotive |
WIP Number | K267-01-00-00-00 |
Is Prebook | No |
GPS Codes | 9673-A6,9800-A6,9807-A6,9813-A6,9B01-A6,9963-A6,9882-A6,9965-A6,9AF6-A6,9B07-C1 |