Poland Electromobility Market, 2016–2025

Active Growth Driven by the Government’s Electromobility Plan to Reach 1 Million Electric Vehicles on the Road by 2025

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This study aims to research, analyze, and provide forecasts for the electric vehicle (EV) market in Poland according to 2 segments: passenger vehicles and city buses, and covering the key industry participants in the developing ecosystem.

Objectives:
•     To provide insights on the current and future stance on the global EV market
•     To describe historical figures and the forecast development of the automotive market in Poland
•     To identify the taxation structure on the passenger vehicle segment in Poland
•     To define the most important drivers and restraints that influence the Polish automotive market
•     To provide historical figures of the new EV registrations in Poland and the most popular models split
•     To understand the government plans and vision for the promotion of EV market growth
•     To draw the ecosystem and identify key industry participants in the EV market in Poland
•     To provide the outlook for charging station infrastructure and energy generation

This study analyzes the development potential of the electric vehicle market in Poland. It provides a strategic overview of the automotive market development in the country, the taxation schemes; and the governmental policies, plans, and regulations related to the evolving EV market and the local industry. It analyzes historical data from 2000 and provides plans and policies until 2025, with the base year being 2016. It outlines various indicators of the EV market globally and in Poland in particular.

The vehicle types covered are passenger vehicles (PV), hybrid electric vehicles (HEV), battery electric vehicles (BEV), plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEV), fuel-cell electric vehicles (FCEV), and city buses.

Key Questions this Study Will Answer:
1. What is the global situation in the EV market and how is it projected to develop?
2. What is the condition of the domestic automotive market in Poland? How are imports and new registration figures developed over time? How is the situation expected to evolve?
3. What is the state of the EV market in the country? What are the most popular EV models?
4. What is the competitive environment in the electric city bus segment? What are the future development plans?
5. What is the condition of the energy grid and charging infrastructure network in Poland?
6. What are the key taxation regulations and government vision to develop the EV market in the country?

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary
Key Takeaways
Automotive Market in Poland
Automotive Market Pricing Analysis
Government Plans in EV Development
Energy and Charging Points Infrastructure
Findings and Future Outlook
2. Research Scope, Objectives, Background, and Methodology
Research Scope
Research Aims and Objectives
Research Background
Research Methodology
3. Definitions and Segmentation
Vehicle Scope and Definitions
4. Global Electric Vehicle Market
Global Electric Vehicle Market—Forecast to 2025
Global Electric Vehicle Market—Sales Outlook in 2016
Global Electric Vehicle Market—Breakdown by Region in 2025
5. Passenger Vehicle Market in Poland
Passenger Vehicle Market—New and Used Vehicles Outlook
Passenger Vehicle Market—Vehicle Taxation: New and Used Vehicles
Market Drivers
Economic growth and decreasing unemployment
Increasing income levels of Polish citizens
Prices of imported used cars
Planned novelisation of excise duty regulations
Growing segment of institutional clients
Market Restraints
Air pollution problem
Aging passenger vehicle parc
Planned novelisation of excise duty regulations
High density of vehicles per inhabitant
Relatively low purchasing power of local customers
6. Electric Vehicle Market in Poland
Electric Vehicle Market—New Vehicle Registrations
Electric Vehicle Market—Existing Models: Pricing Analysis
Electric Vehicle Market—Government Vision and Policies
Electric Vehicle Market—Planned Incentives
Electric Vehicles Market—Supply Chain
Electric Vehicles Market—Ecosystem
Electric Vehicle Market—SWOT Analysis
Market Drivers
Government plans and legislation
Projected incentives for EV users
Investments in developing charging point infrastructure
New mobility business models involving EVs
Creation of industry clusters and R&D centres to develop the local EV industry
Market Restraints
High price of EVs on the market
Lack of sufficient charging point infrastructure
Underdeveloped service and maintenance network for EVs
Lack of implemented incentives for EV users
Energy grid requires modernisation
7. City Bus Market in Poland
City Bus Market—New Registrations
City Bus Market—Government Plans
Market Drivers
Public financial support of bus parc modernisation
Strong domestic city bus industry
Government plans for public transport development
Willingness of municipalities to upgrade the bus parc
Growing segment of city buses with alternative powertrains
Market Restraints
High price of city buses
Underdeveloped city bus charging infrastructure
Slow tender procedures and city bus operator selection process
Limited timeframes of EU financing options
Potential saturation of the market
8. Infrastructure Outlook
Electric Vehicle Market—Charging Infrastructure Outlook
Electric Vehicle Market—Charging Infrastructure Plans
Electric Vehicle Market—Charging Infrastructure Development Process
Energy Market—Energy Generation and Demand
Energy Market—Energy Supply Split
9. Mobility—New Business Models
Electric Vehicle Market—Innovative Opportunities
Electric Vehicle Market—Mobility Solutions
10. Growth Opportunities and Companies to Action
Growth Opportunity 1—Charging Point Infrastructure Development
Growth Opportunity 2—Automotive Supply Chain Transformation
Growth Opportunity 3—Public Transport Modernisation
Strategic Imperatives for Electric Vehicle Market Participants
11. Conclusions and Future Outlook
Key Conclusions
The Last Word—3 Big Predictions
Legal Disclaimer
12. Appendix
Abbreviations and Acronyms Used
Market Engineering Methodology
13. The Frost & Sullivan Story


List of Figures & Charts

1. Electric Vehicle Market: Key Takeaways, Poland, 2016
2. Electric Vehicle Market: Government Vision, Poland, 2016–2025
3. Electric Vehicle Market: Findings and Future Outlook, Poland, 2016 and 2025
4. Electric Vehicle Market: Key Questions this Study Will Answer, Poland, 2016
5. Electric Vehicle Market: Key Industry Participants, Poland, 2016
6. Automotive Market: Key Definitions, Poland, 2016
7. Passenger Vehicle Market: Taxation of New and Used Vehicles, Poland, 2016
8. Passenger Vehicle Market: Key Market Drivers, Poland, 2017–2025
9. Passenger Vehicle Market: Key Market Restraints, Poland, 2017–2025
10. Electric Vehicle Market: Top 5 Selling Models, Poland, 2011–2016
11. Electric Vehicle Market: Planned Incentives, Poland, 2017
12. Electric Vehicles Market: Key Participants in the Supply Chain, Poland, 2016
13. Electric Vehicle Market: Ecosystem, Poland, 2016
14. Electric Vehicle Market: SWOT Analysis, Poland, 2016
15. Electric Vehicle Market: Key Market Drivers, Poland, 2017–2025
16. Electric Vehicle Market: Key Market Restraints, Poland, 2017–2025
17. City Bus Market: Key Market Drivers, Poland, 2017–2025
18. City Bus Market: Key Market Restraints, Poland, 2017–2025
19. Electric Vehicle Market: Charging Infrastructure—Map, Poland, 2016
20. Electric Vehicle Market: Charging Infrastructure Development Process, Poland, 2017–2025
21. Electric Vehicle Market: Innovative Opportunities, Poland, 2017
22. Electric Vehicle Market: Mobility Solutions, Poland, 2017
23. Electric Vehicle Market: Key Conclusions, Poland, 2016–2025


1. Automotive Market: Used PV Imports, New Registrations of PV and EV, Poland, 2000–2016
2. Automotive Market: EVs and Traditional Vehicle Pricing Analysis, Poland, 2016
3. Electric Vehicle Market: Government Vision, Poland, 2016–2025
4. Electric Vehicle Market: Charging Points Infrastructure, Poland, 2016 and 2020
5. Electric Vehicle Market: Energy Generation and Consumption, Poland, 2016 and 2025
6. Electric Vehicle Market: Midline Sales Forecast, Global, 2012–2025
7. Electric Vehicle Market: Sales Breakdown by Country, Global, 2016
8. Electric Vehicle Market: Sales Breakdown by Region and EV Type, Global, 2016
9. Electric Vehicle Market: Sales Breakdown by Region, Global, 2025
10. Passenger Vehicle Market: New Registrations and Used Vehicles Imports, Poland, 2000–2016
11. Electric Vehicle Market: New Registrations, Poland, 2011–2016
12. Electric Vehicle Market: EVs and Traditional Pricing Analysis, Poland, 2016
13. Electric Vehicle Market: Vision and Policies, Poland, 2016–2025
14. City Bus Market: New Registrations, Poland, 2012–2016
15. City Bus Market: OEMs by Market Share, Poland, 2016
16. City Bus Market: Government Plans, Poland, 2016
17. Electric Vehicle Market: Charging Infrastructure—Points, Poland, 2016
18. Electric Vehicle Market: Charging Infrastructure Plans, Poland, 2016–2020
19. Energy Market: Energy Generation and Demand, Poland, 2010–2016
20. Energy Market: Energy Generation by Sources Split, Poland, 2010 and 2015
21. Electric Vehicle Market: Innovative Opportunities, Poland, 2017



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