South African Power Commodity Market, Forecast to 2022

Power Utilities Seeking Expertise from OEMs in Improving Product Performance and Reducing Life Cycle Costs

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Renewable energy has taken centre stage in South Africa's expanding power generation capacity, necessitating development and maintenance of requisite transmission infrastructure. Switch gears, transformers, and reactors are critical in supplying quality power to customers in a cost-effective manner. Local research and development, manufacturing, and supply chains will assist OEMs in these components in reducing manufacturing costs whilst increase competitiveness. There will be a steady shift in procurement strategy of utilities that will focus on the total cost of ownership (TCO) as against considering capital costs alone. Establishing a supply chain based on business activities could help deliver cost and value advantages to utilities.

Eskom’s operational expenses have been increasing continuously in South Africa, with a negative impact on customers in the form of rising tariffs. Distributed generation, renewable energy, and a shift in economic activity have resulted in declining electricity sales affecting profit margins. In order to ensure business sustainability, Eskom will be required to upgrade its transmission infrastructure and equipment to minimise losses and ensure optimal performance of equipment through the adoption of latest technologies and materials.

The REIPPPP in South Africa has created tremendous interest amongst private investors, with major power projects focusing on solar photovoltaics (PV), concentrated solar power (CSP), wind, and biomass energy. Renewable energy accounted for 9.7% of the energy mix in South Africa in 2016. The government has determined that 3,725 MW is to be generated from renewable energy as stated in the IIRP 2010–2030 under the REIPPP programme. The growing contribution of renewable power and its inherent intermittent nature will drive the demand for upgraded transmission equipment and infrastructure requiring minimum maintenance and longer service life.

Eskom is planning to incorporate new projects for building transmission network and increasing the reach of electricity. The plan is to increase the current transmission lines infrastructure by about 10,000 km by the end of 2025. This will involve developing the 765 kVA, 400 kVA, and 275 kVA lines and procuring new transformers and reactors.

This research study outlines the current state of development of switchgears, transformers, and reactors in the South African market and capabilities possessed by the companies and organisations participating in this market. It also touches upon aspects that utilities need to consider whilst procuring critical transmission utility equipment.

Key questions this study will answer:
1.     What are the commodity types available and what are their applications in power supply industry?
2.     Who are the major players and what are their value propositions in the market for these commodities?
3.     What are the power utility prerequisites and overall market dynamics for the sale of these commodities in South Africa?
4.     What are the technological developments taking place in the market for these commodities?
5.     What are the drivers and restraints for these commodities in the South African market?

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary
Key Findings—Opportunities for Cost Reduction
Key Findings
Executive Summary–CEO’s perspective
2. Introduction
Scope of the Study
South Africa—Existing Transmission Infrastructure
South Africa—Future Investments in Transmission
3. Drivers and Restraints
Key Market Drivers
Key Market Restraints
4. Switchgear Market
Introduction
5. High and Medium Voltage Switchgears
High and Medium Voltage Switchgears
High and Medium Voltage Switchgears—Technology Developments
High/Medium Voltage Switchgears—The Way Forward
6. Low Voltage Switchgears
Low Voltage Switchgears
Low Voltage Switchgears—Technology Developments
Low Voltage Switchgears—The Way Forward
7. Competitor Profiling—Switchgears
Key Market Participants
8. Power Transformers and Auxiliary Transformers
Transformers
Auxiliary Transformers
Power Transformers and Auxiliary Transformers
Transformers—Market Analysis
Transformers—Technology Developments
Power Transformers—Technology Developments
Auxiliary Transformers—Technology Developments
Transformers—TCO
Transformers—The Way Forward
9. Shunt Reactors
Shunt Reactors
Shunt Reactors—Technology Developments
Shunt Reactors—The Way Forward
10. Competitor Profiling—Power Transformers, Auxiliary Transformers, and Shunt Reactors
Key Market Participants
11. Improving Supply Chains and OEM Agreements
Benefits of “Alliance Contracting/Agreement”
Understanding “Alliance Contracting/Agreement”
Implementing “Business Activity”-based Supply Chains
12. Growth Opportunities and Companies to Action
Growth Opportunity 1—Power Infrastructure
Strategic Imperatives for Success and Growth
13. The Last Word
The Last Word—Three Big Predictions
Legal Disclaimer
14. The Frost & Sullivan Story


List of Figures & Charts

1. SADC Utility Equipment Analysis: Existing Transmission and Distribution Assets, South Africa, 2016
2. SADC Utility Equipment Analysis: Expected New Transmission Assets, South Africa, 2016–2025
3. Power Utilities Market: Expected New Transformers Assets, South Africa, 2016–2025
4. SADC Utility Equipment Analysis: Key Market Drivers, South Africa, 2017–2022
5. SADC Utility Equipment Analysis: Key Market Restraints, South Africa, 2017–2022
6. SADC Utility Equipment Analysis: Product Range of Switchgears, South Africa, 2016
7. SADC Utility Equipment Analysis: Advantages and Disadvantages of Different Arc Quenching Media in Switchgear, South Africa, 2016
8. SADC Utility Equipment Analysis: Market Participant Analysis, South Africa, 2016
9. SADC Utility Equipment Analysis: Market Participant Analysis, South Africa, 2016
10. SADC Utility Equipment Analysis: Market Participant Analysis, South Africa, 2016
11. SADC Utility Equipment Analysis: Market Participant Analysis, South Africa, 2016
12. SADC Utility Equipment Analysis: Market Participant Analysis, South Africa, 2016
13. SADC Utility Equipment Analysis: Market Participant Analysis, South Africa, 2016
14. SADC Utility Equipment Analysis: Market Participant Analysis, South Africa, 2016
15. SADC Utility Equipment Analysis: Market Participant Analysis, South Africa, 2016
16. SADC Utility Equipment Analysis: Market Participant Analysis, Powertech Transformers, South Africa, 2016
17. SADC Utility Equipment Analysis: Market Participant Analysis, ABB South Africa, South Africa, 2016
18. SADC Utility Equipment Analysis: Market Participant Analysis, Siemens, South Africa, 2016
19. SADC Utility Equipment Analysis: Market Participant Analysis, Zest-WEG, South Africa, 2016
20. SADC Utility Equipment Analysis: Market Participant Analysis, Actom, South Africa, 2016
21. SADC Utility Equipment Analysis: Market Participant Analysis, ContiPower, South Africa, 2016
22. SADC Utility Equipment Analysis: Market Participant Analysis, Zaporozhtransformator, South Africa, 2016
23. SADC Utility Equipment Analysis: Market Participant Analysis, Revive Electrical Transformers, South Africa, 2016
24. SADC Utility Equipment Analysis: Market Participant Analysis, Free State Transformers, South Africa, 2016
25. SADC Utility Equipment Analysis: Market Participant Analysis, Instrument Transformer, South Africa, 2016
26. SADC Utility Equipment Analysis: Market Participant Analysis, Reliable Transformer, South Africa, 2016


1. SADC Utility Equipment Analysis: TCO Analysis for Transformers, South Africa, 2016



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