Strategic Analysis of Indonesia Commercial Vehicle Industry, Forecast to 2025

Annual Demand for Pickups, Light-medium-heavy Trucks, and Buses to Touch 742,000 Units by 2025

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The commercial vehicle market in Indonesia has been shrinking from 2014 to 2016, with the market experiencing its lowest decline in 2016. Consequently, the production has also witnessed a decline over the years. Small Commercial Vehicles (SCVs) account for the largest segment in both sales and production. Japanese brands have the widest commercial vehicle distribution and service network in Indonesia. During the forecast period, the Indonesian commercial vehicle market is expected to witness a positive growth, despite challenges in terms of increased down payment rate, restriction on subsidized fuel, increasing price of raw materials, and global economic crisis. In all, 80% of Indonesia’s vehicle sales are fi

Research Scope

This study aims to research, analyze, and forecast the commercial vehicles market in Indonesia during 2012-2025. The scope of the study is

  • To provide a strategic overview of the commercial vehicles market, including key technology trends, market trends, and market drivers and restraints
  • To provide market size for pickups, LCVs (SCVs, LTs), and MCVs, HCVs, and bus (LBs, MHBs) segments by OEM and sales breakdown for 2012–2025
  • To provide forecasts for current and future roadmaps for commercial vehicles by segments for 2012–2025
  • To provide competitor analysis, including competitive factors, competitor market shares, and product portfolio analysis and capabilities
  • To provide a strategic analysis of the commercial vehicles market from an OEM’s perspective

Key Issues Addressed

  • How is the business and economic environment as a whole impacting the sales of commercial vehicles?
  • How are commercial vehicles classified and how is the market structured?
  • Who are the market leaders and what are their market shares?
  • What are the technology trends?
  • Is there potential for growth within the market?

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary
Executive Summary—Market Engineering Measurements
Executive Summary—Total Market Unit Shipment Snapshot
Indonesian CVs Market—Lifecycle Analysis
Market and Technology Trends
Total CVs Market—Sales Scenario Analysis
2. Research Scope, Objectives, Background, and Methodology
Research Scope
Research Aims and Objectives
Research Background
Research Methodology
Key OEM/Participant Groups Compared in this Study
3. Definitions and Segmentation
Vehicle Definitions
Vehicle Segmentation
4. CVs Market Overview
CVs Market—Unit Sales Breakdown by Segments
CVs Market—Sales Breakdown by Brands
CVs Market—Sales Breakdown by Region
CVs Market—Production Breakdown by Segments
CVs Market—Production Breakdown by Brands
Powertrain Mix by Fuel Type
CVs Age Analysis
CVs Age Analysis—New Versus Used CVs
CVs Fleet Type and Size
The Indonesian CVs Industry—Outlook of Value Chain by 2023
Applications of CVs by Fleet Type
5. Market Network and Dealership
CVs Market—Dealership Analysis
CVs Market—Dealership Analysis by Region
CVs Market—Major Dealers
6. Regulatory Environment
Emission Norms and Legislations
Safety and Fuel Efficiency Regulations
7. Key Industry Sectors Outlook—Total CVs Market
Key Industries Impacting Indonesia’s CVs Market
Top Industries Impacting Indonesia’s CVs Market
Key Industry #1—Agriculture Industry: Development and Impact
Agriculture Industry—Future Growth
Key Industry #2—Manufacturing Industry: Development and Impact
Manufacturing Industry—Future Growth
Key Industry #3—Construction Industry: Development and Impact
Construction Industry—Future Growth
8. External Challenges—Drivers and Restraints: Total CVs Market
Market Drivers
Market Restraints
9. Forecasts and Trends—Total CVs Market
Market Engineering Measurements
Total CVs Market—Sales Scenario Analysis
Total CVs Market—Optimistic Scenario Analysis
Total CVs Market—Frost & Sullivan Scenario Analysis
Total CVs Market—Conservative Scenario Analysis
Total Market Unit Shipment Snapshot
10. Market Share and Competitive Analysis—Total CVs Market
Competitive Environment—CVs Market
CVs Market—Manufacturer Market Share Analysis
Pickup Segment—Competitive Environment
Pickup Segment—Manufacturer Market Share Analysis
Pickup Segment—Key Best-selling Models
SCV Segment—Competitive Environment
SCV Segment—Manufacturer Market Share Analysis
SCV Segment—Key Best-selling Models
LT Segment—Competitive Environment
LT Segment—Manufacturer Market Share Analysis
LT Segment—Key Best-selling Models
MCV Segment—Competitive Environment
MCV Segment—Manufacturer Market Share Analysis
MCV Segment—Key Best-selling Models
HCV Segment—Competitive Environment
HCV Segment—Manufacturer Market Share Analysis
HCV Segment—Key Best Selling Models
LB Segment—Competitive Environment
LB Segment—Manufacturer Market Share Analysis
LB Segment—Key Best Selling Models
MHB Segment—Competitive Environment
MHB Segment—Manufacturer Market Share Analysis
MHB Segment—Key Best-selling Models
11. CV Industry and OEM Profile
Top Market Participants
Manufacturing Locations
Local Supply Base
CVs Manufacturers—Mitsubishi
CVs Manufacturers—Daihatsu Motors
CVs Manufacturers—Suzuki Motors
CVs Manufacturers—Hino Motors
Recent Activities
12. Growth Opportunities and Companies to Action
Growth Opportunity 1—Economic Growth
Growth Opportunity 2—Indonesia Emerging as Large Manufacturing Base
Growth Opportunity 3—Tax Exemptions
Growth Opportunity 4—Alternative Fuel Vehicles
Strategic Imperatives for Success and Growth
13. Conclusions and Future Outlook
Key Conclusions and Future Outlook
Strategic Recommendations for Local OEMs
Strategic Recommendations for Global OEMs
The Last Word—3 Big Predictions
Legal Disclaimer
14. Appendix
Table of Acronyms Used
List of Exhibits
15. The Frost & Sullivan Story

Infographic



List of Figures & Charts

1. Total CVs Market: Production and Sales, Indonesia, 2012–2016
2. Total CVs Market: Key Industry Participants, Indonesia, 2016
3. Total CVs Market: CVs Segment, Indonesia, 2016
4. Total CVs Market: Major Dealers, Indonesia, 2016
5. Total CVs Market: Emission Standards Roadmap, Indonesia, 2005–2025
6. Total CVs Market: Current and Proposed Sulfur Levels in Diesel, Indonesia, 1999–2025
7. Total CVs Market: Emission Standards for CVs, Indonesia, 2016
8. Total CVs Market: Safety Regulations, Indonesia, 2016
9. Estimation of Land Utilization, Indonesia, 2016
10. Key Manufacturing Hotspots, Indonesia, 2016
11. Priority Infrastructure Projects, Indonesia, 2016–2019
12. Total CVs Market: Key Market Drivers, Indonesia, 2017–2025
13. Total CVs Market: Key Market Restraints, Indonesia, 2017–2025
14. Total CVs Market: Market Engineering Measurements, Indonesia, 2016
15. Total CVs Market: Competitive Structure, Indonesia, 2016
16. Pickup Segment: Competitive Structure, Indonesia, 2016
17. SCV Segment: Competitive Structure, Indonesia, 2016
18. LT Segment: Competitive Structure, Indonesia, 2016
19. MCV Segment: Competitive Structure, Indonesia, 2016
20. HCV Segment: Competitive Structure, Indonesia, 2016
21. LB Segment: Competitive Structure, Indonesia, 2016
22. MHB Segment: Competitive Structure, Indonesia, 2016
23. Total CVs Market: Top Market Participants, Indonesia, 2016
24. Total CVs Market: Extent of Localization, Indonesia, 2016
25. Commercial Vehicle: Participants’ Key Activities, Indonesia, 2015–2017


1. Total Commercial Vehicles (CVs) Market: Market Engineering Measurements, Indonesia, 2016
2. Total CVs Market: Sales Forecast, Indonesia, 2016 and 2025
3. Total CVs Market: Lifecycle Analysis, Indonesia, 1970–2030 and Beyond
4. Total CVs Market: Market and Technology Trends, Indonesia, 2016
5. Total CVs Market: Sales Scenario Analysis, Indonesia, 2016–2025
6. Total CVs Market: Unit Sales Breakdown by Segments, Indonesia, 2012–2016
7. Total CVs Market: Sales Breakdown by Brands, Indonesia, 2016
8. Total CVs Market: Sales Breakdown by Region, Indonesia, 2016
9. Total CVs Market: Production Breakdown by Segments, Indonesia, 2012–2016
10. Total CVs Market: Production Breakdown by Brands, Indonesia, 2016
11. Total CVs Market: Powertrain Mix by Fuel Type, Indonesia, 2012 and 2016
12. Total CVs Market: Average Age of CVs by Segment, Indonesia, 2016
13. Total CVs Market: New Versus Used CVs, Indonesia, 2016 and 2021
14. Total CVs Market: Market Share by Fleet Size, Indonesia, 2016
15. Total CVs Market: Market Share by Fleet Type, Indonesia, 2016
16. Total CV Market: Outlook of Value Chain, Indonesia, 2016–2023
17. Total CVs Market: Applications by Fleet Type, Indonesia, 2016
18. Total CVs Market: Dealer Point Analysis of Market Participants, Indonesia, 2016
19. Total CVs Market: Dealer Point Analysis of Top 4 Participants by Region, Indonesia, 2017
20. Percentage Distribution of GDP at Current Market Prices by Industry, Indonesia, 2012–2016
21. Growth Rate of GDP at 2010 Constant Market Prices by Industry, Indonesia, 2012–2016
22. Impact of Agriculture Industry on Commercial Vehicle by Segment, Indonesia, 2017–2025
23. Impact of Manufacturing Industry on Commercial Vehicle by Segment, Indonesia, 2017–2025
24. Impact of Construction Industry on Commercial Vehicle by Segment, Indonesia, 2017–2025
25. Total CVs Market: Sales Scenario Analysis, Indonesia, 2016–2025
26. Total CVs Market: Optimistic Scenario Analysis, Indonesia, 2016–2025
27. Total CVs Market: Frost & Sullivan Scenario Analysis, Indonesia, 2016–2025
28. Total CVs Market: Conservative Scenario Analysis, Indonesia, 2016–2025
29. Total CVs Market: Sales Forecast, Indonesia, 2016 and 2025
30. Total CVs Market: Market Share by Sales, Indonesia, 2012–2016
31. Pickup Segment: Market Share by Sales, Indonesia, 2012–2016
32. Pickup Segment: Best-selling Models, Indonesia, 2012–2016
33. SCV Segment: Market Share by Sales, Indonesia, 2012–2016
34. SCV Segment: Best-selling Models, Indonesia, 2012–2016
35. LT Segment: Market Share by Sales, Indonesia, 2012–2016
36. LCV Segment: Best-selling Models, Indonesia, 2012–2016
37. MCV Segment: Market Share by Sales, Indonesia, 2012–2016
38. MCV Segment: Best-selling Models, Indonesia, 2012–2016
39. HCV Segment: Market Share by Sales, Indonesia, 2012–2016
40. HCV Segment: Best-selling Models, Indonesia, 2012–2016
41. LB Segment: Market Share by Sales, Indonesia, 2012–2016
42. LB Segment: Best-selling Models, Indonesia, 2012–2016
43. MHB Segment: Market Share by Sales, Indonesia, 2012–2016
44. MHB Segment: Best-selling Models, Indonesia, 2012–2016
45. Total CVs Market: Manufacturing and Assembly Plant Locations, Indonesia, 2016
46. Total CVs Market: Basic Information of Mitsubishi, Indonesia, 2016
47. Mitsubishi Indonesia: Segment Sales Structure, Indonesia, 2016
48. Total CVs Market: Basic Information of Daihatsu, Indonesia, 2016
49. Daihatsu Indonesia: Segment Sales Structure, Indonesia, 2016
50. Total CVs Market: Basic Information of Suzuki, Indonesia, 2016
51. Suzuki Indonesia: Segment Sales Structure, Indonesia, 2016
52. Total CVs Market: Basic Information of Hino, Indonesia, 2016
53. Hino Indonesia: Segment Sales Structure, Indonesia, 2016



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Release Date : 18-Apr-18

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