The Impact of the US-China Trade War on Southeast Asian Countries, 2018

The Impact of the US-China Trade War on Southeast Asian Countries, 2018

Even the Beneficiaries of the US-China Trade War Face the Impact of the Global Slowdown

RELEASE DATE
23-Oct-2019
REGION
North America
Deliverable Type
Market Research
Research Code: 9AB7-00-0E-00-00
SKU: CI00646-GL-MR_23582
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The Impact of the US-China Trade War on Southeast Asian Countries, 2018
Published on: 23-Oct-2019 | SKU: CI00646-GL-MR_23582

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This report provides an overview of the US-China trade war plan and its consequences. It also investigates the impacts of the US-China trade war on Vietnam, Malaysia, and Singapore.

The US-China trade war has been the main reason behind the uncertainty in financial markets during 2018 and 2019, which has affected investor confidence globally. For the US, their change in trade policy with China was aimed at reducing the US trade deficit with China and encouraging industries to invest in the United States rather than in China. The move is also aimed at bringing back manufacturing jobs to Americans. The trade war has significant impacts on the economic indicators globally and regionally. The global economic growth slowdown and international trade barrier resulting from the US trade policies have led to reduced demand for many industries around the world and raised the possibility of a global recession. The flow of foreign direct investment has shifted away from China to other countries. Many companies with bases in China have already relocated or are considering relocation to other destinations as they do not see any resolution to the dispute in the near future.

Not all countries have been affected in the same manner by the trade war. For instance, it has presented Vietnam with considerable advantages, opening up the possibility to attract investments from across the globe, including China. In fact, Vietnam has been the biggest beneficiary of the US-China trade war in the world so far. However, there is reason to anticipate changes in the US trade policy on Vietnam, as the US trade deficit with Vietnam is becoming wider. While Malaysia can be considered as an alternative destination for companies relocating from China, Singapore’s manufacturing industry, especially the semiconductor industry is suffering from the changes in demand for chipmakers, which has negatively impacted its economy. Finally, the report discusses the new phases of the trade war, such as the recent currency war and considers the possible future of the dispute. This report equips the investors with the required information to aid their decision-making process.

Key Issues Addressed

  • How has the US-China trade war affected economic growth?
  • What are the impacts of the dispute on the flow of foreign direct investment?
  • Which companies are considering relocation from China to other countries in the region?
  • What is the current state of the semiconductor industry in Singapore?

Key Findings

CEO’s Perspective

Scope of the Study

Global Economic Growth

Global Policy Uncertainty

America First Policy

The Consequences

The Consequences (continued)

The US Trade Balance with China

The US Imports from China

The US Exports to China

The US International Trade Balance

The Economy of Vietnam

Vietnam’s Economic Growth

Foreign Direct Investment in Vietnam

How did Vietnam Attract Foreign Investments?

Tech Giants are Relocating to Vietnam

Tech Giants are Relocating to Vietnam (continued)

Exports from Vietnam to the World

US Trade with Vietnam

China Trade with Vietnam

Vietnam Industries in the Time of Trade War

Is Vietnam the Next Target of US Tariffs?

Is Vietnam the Next Target of US Tariffs? (continued)

The Economy of Malaysia

Malaysia’s Economic Growth

Foreign Direct Investment in Malaysia

Exports from Malaysia to the World

US Trade with Malaysia

China Trade with Malaysia

Malaysia Industries in the Time of Trade War

The Economy of Singapore

Singapore’s Economic Growth

Singapore’s Economic Growth (continued)

Exports from Singapore to the World

US Trade with Singapore

China Trade with Singapore

The Case of the Singapore Semiconductor Industry

The Case of Singapore Semiconductor Industry (continued) 

The Battle’s Future

Growth Opportunity 1—Geographic Expansion

Growth Opportunity 2—New Capabilities

Strategic Imperatives for Success and Growth

Conclusion

Legal Disclaimer

Key Source Documents

List of Exhibits

List of Exhibits (continued)

The Frost & Sullivan Story

Value Proposition—Future of Your Company & Career

Global Perspective

Industry Convergence

360º Research Perspective

Implementation Excellence

Our Blue Ocean Strategy

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This report provides an overview of the US-China trade war plan and its consequences. It also investigates the impacts of the US-China trade war on Vietnam, Malaysia, and Singapore. The US-China trade war has been the main reason behind the uncertainty in financial markets during 2018 and 2019, which has affected investor confidence globally. For the US, their change in trade policy with China was aimed at reducing the US trade deficit with China and encouraging industries to invest in the United States rather than in China. The move is also aimed at bringing back manufacturing jobs to Americans. The trade war has significant impacts on the economic indicators globally and regionally. The global economic growth slowdown and international trade barrier resulting from the US trade policies have led to reduced demand for many industries around the world and raised the possibility of a global recession. The flow of foreign direct investment has shifted away from China to other countries. Many companies with bases in China have already relocated or are considering relocation to other destinations as they do not see any resolution to the dispute in the near future. Not all countries have been affected in the same manner by the trade war. For instance, it has presented Vietnam with considerable advantages, opening up the possibility to attract investments from across the globe, including China. In fact, Vietnam has been the biggest beneficiary of the US-China trade war in the world so far. However, there is reason to anticipate changes in the US trade policy on Vietnam, as the US trade deficit with Vietnam is becoming wider. While Malaysia can be considered as an alternative destination for companies relocating from China, Singapore’s manufacturing industry, especially the semiconductor industry is suffering from the changes in demand for chipmakers, which has negatively impacted its economy. Finally, the report discusses the new phases of the trade war, such as the recent currency war and considers the possible future of the dispute. This report equips the investors with the required information to aid their decision-making process.--BEGIN PROMO--

Key Issues Addressed

  • How has the US-China trade war affected economic growth?
  • What are the impacts of the dispute on the flow of foreign direct investment?
  • Which companies are considering relocation from China to other countries in the region?
  • What is the current state of the semiconductor industry in Singapore?
More Information
Deliverable Type Market Research
No Index No
Podcast No
Author Fatemeh Dehdar
Industries Cross Industries
WIP Number 9AB7-00-0E-00-00
Is Prebook No
GPS Codes 9100-A2,9869-A2,9947-A2,9948-A2,9982-A2,9985-A2,9A74-A2,9595,9870