Transformative Trends and Innovative Business Models Powering the Indian Electric Bus Market

Transformative Trends and Innovative Business Models Powering the Indian Electric Bus Market

Future Growth Potential Enhanced by New Business Models and Low Cost of Ownership Opportunity in the Electric Bus Market

RELEASE DATE
10-Aug-2020
REGION
South Asia, Middle East & North Africa
Research Code: PAD9-01-00-00-00
SKU: AU02025-SA-MR_24622

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Description

This study on the Indian electric bus (eBus) market discusses the key influencing trends that are driving the growth in this segment. Government Initiatives in India to promote electric buses, state government initiatives, and FAME-II overview and incentives schemes are discussed in this study. The tenders in different cities for procuring the electric buses are compared and analyzed, and the differences between the gross cost contract (GCC) purchase model and the outright purchase model are explained. State-wise EV policies that have been announced and are in the implementation phase are discussed along with future government plans in India for electric buses. The key market drivers and restraints influencing electric buses in India are discussed in detail. A complete total cost of ownership (TCO) analysis is done with a scenario comparing diesel and CNG buses to electric buses, highlighting the cost differences between them if they are owned for a year. Similarly, forecasting is also done for the same scenario in 2025 with the effects of decline in battery prices in India. The estimated differences between the 3 buses is studied for that timeline as well. The major barriers in the adoption of electric buses and what are the solutions to overcome them are also explained through a detailed SWOT analysis on the implementation of electric buses in India. The key technological trends in India with electric buses (e.g., battery swapping) are also discussed. Charging infrastructures are explained in detail, including the different types used in different countries. Pantograph charging as an opportunity in India is explored through bus rapid transit system (BRTS) lanes. The battery technology along with a pricing roadmap to the future and an estimated battery price in the future are also given. The limitless opportunities in recycling batteries and the different methods of recycling are discussed along with the possibilities of usage of secondary life applications with global examples of recycling and repurposing that have been implemented successfully as of now. The driveline technology is explained with detailed analysis about the different types of electric driveline architecture and definitions of key terminologies along with electric motor benchmarking. The electric motor roadmap is also discussed and the pricing analysis for the different types of motors and their forecasting is also given. Finally, the future of electric buses in India is estimated with 3 different scenarios and recommendations are provided for key stakeholders. The growth opportunities and strategic imperatives for success and growth in the electric bus market are also discussed.

RESEARCH: INFOGRAPHIC

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Table of Contents

Executive Summary—Key Highlights

Research Scope

Research Aims and Objectives

Key Questions this Study will Answer

Research Methodology

Indian Electric Bus Market—Key Influencing Trends

Product Portfolio

Electric Buses Under FAME-I

FAME-I Tenders in Different Cities

FAME-I Bidding Prices—Comparison Between Different Cities

GCC Model and Outright Purchase Model Comparison

GCC Model and Outright Purchase Model Comparison (continued)

FAME-II—Buses Sanctioned

FAME-II—State-wise Penetration of Tenders Won for eBuses

Forecast of eBuses in India

FAME-II Incentives in India—An Overview

FAME-II—Incentive Structure

States Chipping in With EV Policies and Investments

State-wise Policies and Investments to Promote Electric Vehicles

State-wise Policies and Investments to Promote Electric Vehicles (continued)

State-wise Policies and Investments to Promote Electric Vehicles (continued)

State-wise Policies and Investments to Promote Electric Vehicles (continued)

Future Government Plans

Petroleum Import Bill in India

TCO Analysis—Comparison of Diesel, CNG, and Electric

TCO Analysis—Comparison of Diesel, CNG, and Electric (continued)

TCO Analysis—Comparison of Diesel, CNG, and Electric (continued)

Future Scenario

Market Drivers

Drivers Explained

Drivers Explained (continued)

Market Restraints

Restraints Explained

Restraints Explained (continued)

Major Barriers in eBus Implementation and Solution

SWOT Analysis

Why Battery Swapping?

Technology Comparison

Battery Swapping Operations in China and India

Battery Technology Roadmap

Battery Price Roadmap

Battery Thermal Management System (BTMS)

Battery Technology Roadmap and Price Outlook

Battery Demand and Manufacturing Capacity

Reuse of Batteries for Secondary Life Applications

Secondary Life Applications

Recycling of Batteries

Global Examples of Recycling and Repurposing

Global Examples of Recycling and Repurposing (continued)

Electric Vehicle Supply Equipment (EVSE) Types with Various Connectors

Types of Charging Stations for Buses

Inductive Charging

Incentives for Charging Stations

Charging Strategies for eBuses

Pantograph Charging—Technology Roadmap

Opportunity for Pantograph Charging in BRTS

Charging Infrastructure in India—Challenges

Electric Driveline Architecture Benchmarking

Electric Driveline Architecture Benchmarking (continued)

Electric Motor Benchmarking

Electric Motor Benchmarking (continued)

Electric Motor Roadmap

Growth Opportunity 1—Battery Swapping Model will Significantly Bring Down the Cost of Electric Buses

Growth Opportunity 2—Focusing on Improving the Charging Infrastructure and Increasing Localization of EV Components

Strategic Imperatives for Success and Growth

The Last Word—3 Big Predictions

Legal Disclaimer

Table of Acronyms

List of Exhibits

List of Exhibits (continued)

List of Exhibits (continued)

List of Exhibits (continued)

List of Exhibits (continued)

The Frost & Sullivan Story

Value Proposition—Future of Your Company & Career

Global Perspective

Industry Convergence

360º Research Perspective

Implementation Excellence

Our Blue Ocean Strategy

Related Research
This study on the Indian electric bus (eBus) market discusses the key influencing trends that are driving the growth in this segment. Government Initiatives in India to promote electric buses, state government initiatives, and FAME-II overview and incentives schemes are discussed in this study. The tenders in different cities for procuring the electric buses are compared and analyzed, and the differences between the gross cost contract (GCC) purchase model and the outright purchase model are explained. State-wise EV policies that have been announced and are in the implementation phase are discussed along with future government plans in India for electric buses. The key market drivers and restraints influencing electric buses in India are discussed in detail. A complete total cost of ownership (TCO) analysis is done with a scenario comparing diesel and CNG buses to electric buses, highlighting the cost differences between them if they are owned for a year. Similarly, forecasting is also done for the same scenario in 2025 with the effects of decline in battery prices in India. The estimated differences between the 3 buses is studied for that timeline as well. The major barriers in the adoption of electric buses and what are the solutions to overcome them are also explained through a detailed SWOT analysis on the implementation of electric buses in India. The key technological trends in India with electric buses (e.g., battery swapping) are also discussed. Charging infrastructures are explained in detail, including the different types used in different countries. Pantograph charging as an opportunity in India is explored through bus rapid transit system (BRTS) lanes. The battery technology along with a pricing roadmap to the future and an estimated battery price in the future are also given. The limitless opportunities in recycling batteries and the different methods of recycling are discussed along with the possibilities of usage of secondary life applications with global examples of recycling and repurposing that have been implemented successfully as of now. The driveline technology is explained with detailed analysis about the different types of electric driveline architecture and definitions of key terminologies along with electric motor benchmarking. The electric motor roadmap is also discussed and the pricing analysis for the different types of motors and their forecasting is also given. Finally, the future of electric buses in India is estimated with 3 different scenarios and recommendations are provided for key stakeholders. The growth opportunities and strategic imperatives for success and growth in the electric bus market are also discussed.
More Information
No Index No
Podcast No
Author Parthasarathi Prabaharan
Industries Automotive
WIP Number PAD9-01-00-00-00
Is Prebook No
GPS Codes 9800-A6,9883-A6,9889-A6,9882-A6