Americas Economic Tracker—Insights and Trends, H2 2019

Americas Economic Tracker—Insights and Trends, H2 2019

Growth to Stagnate Due to External Environment and Political Uncertainties

RELEASE DATE
26-Jun-2019
REGION
North America
Research Code: 9A6F-00-1B-00-00
SKU: CI00628-NA-DE_23296

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Description

The pace of growth in the Americas is expected to slow down in the coming quarters. The weakening global economy and an anticipated slowdown in the US economy are expected to affect economic growth in the region. While the US economy expanded with a high growth rate of 3.2% and 2.5% in Q1 and Q2 2019, the economy is expected to slow down in the coming quarters as the trade war with China escalates. Inflation is expected to rise due to increased tariffs on Chinese imported goods in the coming quarters. The Canadian economy is now projected to grow by a weak 1.5% in 2019 and to fare only slightly better in 2020, with 1.7% growth. Business investment is expected to pick up, but the weak global backdrop and decelerating US economy will keep gains muted and temper export growth in 2019.

Growth in Latin American countries is expected to stagnate in 2019 as political uncertainty weighs on growth. Argentina faces mounting political uncertainty ahead of October's elections. High interest rates and inflation are expected to depress investment and also hit consumer spending in 2019. The Brazilian economy expanded by 1.3% in 2018. Growth is expected to reach 2.5% in 2019. GDP growth for Mexico is expected to decrease to 1.12% in 2019 due to the slowdown in the manufacturing sector and a delay in the expected return on investment. Persistent trends, such as the decline in oil output, slow job creation, and the fall in government spending are likely to hamper growth during 2019. The three biggest economies—Brazil, Mexico, and Argentina—all seem to have contracted, while other countries performed weakly.

Country Coverage: Americas
·     Argentina
·     Brazil
·     Canada
·     Chile
·     Colombia
·     Mexico
·     Panama
·     The United States


Sector Coverage: economic indicators, demographics, energy, manufacturing, food and beverages, chemicals, pharmaceuticals, plastics, mining, electricity, construction, agriculture, healthcare, information and communication technologies.

Indicator coverage: Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and its components, GDP growth, export and import, foreign direct investment, inflation, business confidence, population and demographics, index of industrial production (IIP), value-add by industry, trade by industry, IIP by industry, production of important commodities, oil production and consumption, oil export and import, renewable energy, emissions, coal production and consumption, healthcare spending, Internet and mobile subscription, and regional GDP growth calculation

Year, Quarter, and Month Coverage:
·     Yearly data: 2015–2023
·     Quarterly data: Q1 2015–Q4 2020 (Select Indicators)
·     Monthly data: January 2015–June 2019 (Select Indicators)

Table of Contents

Americas Economic Tracker—Insights and Trends, H2 2019

Related Research
The pace of growth in the Americas is expected to slow down in the coming quarters. The weakening global economy and an anticipated slowdown in the US economy are expected to affect economic growth in the region. While the US economy expanded with a high growth rate of 3.2% and 2.5% in Q1 and Q2 2019, the economy is expected to slow down in the coming quarters as the trade war with China escalates. Inflation is expected to rise due to increased tariffs on Chinese imported goods in the coming quarters. The Canadian economy is now projected to grow by a weak 1.5% in 2019 and to fare only slightly better in 2020, with 1.7% growth. Business investment is expected to pick up, but the weak global backdrop and decelerating US economy will keep gains muted and temper export growth in 2019. Growth in Latin American countries is expected to stagnate in 2019 as political uncertainty weighs on growth. Argentina faces mounting political uncertainty ahead of October's elections. High interest rates and inflation are expected to depress investment and also hit consumer spending in 2019. The Brazilian economy expanded by 1.3% in 2018. Growth is expected to reach 2.5% in 2019. GDP growth for Mexico is expected to decrease to 1.12% in 2019 due to the slowdown in the manufacturing sector and a delay in the expected return on investment. Persistent trends, such as the decline in oil output, slow job creation, and the fall in government spending are likely to hamper growth during 2019. The three biggest economies—Brazil, Mexico, and Argentina—all seem to have contracted, while other countries performed weakly. Country Coverage: Americas · Argentina · Brazil · Canada · Chile · Colombia · Mexico · Panama · The United States Sector Coverage: economic indicators, demographics, energy, manufacturing, food and beverages, chemicals, pharmaceuticals, plastics, mining, electricity, construction, agriculture, healthcare, information and communication technologies. Indicator coverage: Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and its components, GDP growth, export and import, foreign direct investment, inflation, business confidence, population and demographics, index of industrial production (IIP), value-add by industry, trade by industry, IIP by industry, production of important commodities, oil production and consumption, oil export and import, renewable energy, emissions, coal production and consumption, healthcare spending, Internet and mobile subscription, and regional GDP growth calculation Year, Quarter, and Month Coverage: · Yearly data: 2015–2023 · Quarterly data: Q1 2015–Q4 2020 (Select Indicators) · Monthly data: January 2015–June 2019 (Select Indicators)
More Information
No Index No
Podcast No
Author Sambhavy Shrestha
Industries Cross Industries
WIP Number 9A6F-00-1B-00-00
Is Prebook No
GPS Codes 9A6F