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European OEM Strategies for Passenger Car CO2 Emissions Compliance Towards 2030
European OEM Strategies for Passenger Car CO2 Emissions Compliance Towards 2030
The Tipping Point for OEMs to Move to Zero-emissions Driving as a Means for Compliance is Fast Approaching
07-Sep-2022
Europe
$2,450.00
Special Price $2,082.50 save 15 %
Description
Industry-wide fleet average CO2 emission targets for 2025 have been set to be 15% lower than 2020 levels, while 2030 levels will be 37.5% lower than 2020 levels. These targets are more stringent and are for cars only (separate targets are set for LCVs).
Once the focus area for emission reduction, developments in IC engines no longer play an integral role in emissions compliance. Though investment in IC engine development is still beneficial, it is not the primary road to compliance. The availability of flexibilities played a critical role in most OEMs’ compliance in 2020. However, these flexibilities reduce year-on-year, with only eco-innovations continuing to be active while moving towards ZLEV mandates of 15% from 2025 and 35% from 2030.
Most European and American OEMs have increased the sale of PHEVs and BEVs for compliance but Asian OEMs have been late in adopting electric powertrains due to the strong focus on hybridisation. Electrification is fast becoming the de-facto requirement for compliance. All OEMs accelerating electrification, which is showing a higher return on investment from a compliance perspective and will shortly do so from the revenue perspective as well.
Europe has been at the forefront of engine downsizing, which is evident from the high share of direct-injected, turbocharged gasoline engines. Alternate combustion cycles, Atkinson and Miller, are also expected to find increased adoption, with Atkinson Cycle being adopted by OEMs with full hybrids.
With the adoption of diesel powertrains declining in Europe since the dieselgate scandal, mHEVs and FHEVs have stepped up to meet the demand. In the short term, mHEVs are projected to be the leading xEV type and post the highest growth rates. The primary driver for increased xEV adoption was to meet the targets for 2020. The adoption of xEVs however, varies between OEMs, with BMW, Mercedes-Benz and Volvo prioritising PHEVs, while Kia, Renault-Nissan, and Volkswagen focus more on BEVs. Asian OEMs, meanwhile, focus on hybridisation and overall efficiency improvement. With OEMs meeting the targets for 2020 and 2021, it is now clear that maintaining the xEV ratio will suffice until the next set of targets come into effect.
Author: Anjan Hemanth Kumar
Table of Contents
Executive Summary
Technology for Improving Fuel Economy and Emissions
Technology Impact on CO2 Compliance
Technology Impact on CO2 Compliance (continued)
CO2 Emission Projection by OEM Towards 2030
Actual Versus Target Compared to xEV Penetration
Why Is It Increasingly Difficult to Grow?
The Strategic Imperative 8™
The Impact of the Top 3 Strategic Imperatives on the EU and UK Powertrain Industry
Growth Opportunities Fuel the Growth Pipeline Engine™
Research Scope
Vehicle Segmentation
Segmentation
Regional Emissions and Testing Procedures
Global Passenger Car Corporate Average Fuel Economy Targets
EU and UK—Emissions Outlook
EU and UK Passenger Car Fleet Average CO2 Targets
Mass-based CO2 Targets by OEM Pool
Technology Roadmap: Powertrain Development Trends
Flexibilities Towards Fleet Average CO2 Emissions
Fleet Average CO2 Emissions by OEM Pool
Impact of WLTP on Fleet Average Emissions
Importance of Technology for Emissions Compliance
Frost & Sullivan—Forecasting Framework
Industry Average Performance
BMW Group
BMW Group: Impact of Technology on CO2 Compliance
BMW Group: Impact of Technology on CO2 Compliance (continued)
Mercedes-Benz Group
Mercedes-Benz Group: Impact of Technology on CO2 Compliance
Mercedes-Benz Group: Impact of Technology on CO2 Compliance (continued)
Ford Group
Ford Group: Impact of Technology on CO2 Compliance
Ford Group: Impact of Technology on CO2 Compliance (continued)
Honda Group
Honda: Impact of Technology on CO2 Compliance
Honda: Impact of Technology on CO2 Compliance (continued)
Hyundai-Kia Group
Hyundai-Kia Group: Impact of Technology on CO2 Compliance
Hyundai-Kia Group: Impact of Technology on CO2 Compliance (continued)
Renault-Nissan Group
Renault-Nissan Group: Impact of Technology on CO2 Compliance
Renault-Nissan Group: Impact of Technology on CO2 Compliance (continued)
Stellantis Group
Stellantis: Impact of Technology on CO2 Compliance
Stellantis: Impact of Technology on CO2 Compliance (continued)
Toyota Group
Toyota: Impact of Technology on CO2 Compliance
Toyota: Impact of Technology on CO2 Compliance (continued)
Volkswagen Group
Volkswagen Group: Impact of Technology on CO2 Compliance
Volkswagen Group: Impact of Technology on CO2 Compliance (continued)
Volvo Group
Volvo: Impact of Technology on CO2 Compliance
Volvo: Impact of Technology on CO2 Compliance (continued)
Growth Opportunity 1: OEM-supplier Partnerships for Electrification
Growth Opportunity 1: OEM-supplier Partnerships for Electrification (continued)
Growth Opportunity 2: Increased Investment in Vehicle Electrification Through xEVs
Growth Opportunity 2: Increased Investment in Vehicle Electrification Through xEVs (continued)
Growth Opportunity 3: Optimising Combustion for Lowering Emissions
Growth Opportunity 3: Optimising Combustion for Lowering Emissions (continued)
Initialisms
List of Exhibits
List of Exhibits (continued)
List of Exhibits (continued)
Legal Disclaimer
Popular Topics
| Author | Bharath Srinivasan |
|---|---|
| Industries | Automotive |
| No Index | No |
| Is Prebook | No |
| Keyword 1 | PHEV |
| Keyword 2 | BEV |
| Keyword 3 | OEM Strategies for Passenger Car CO2 Emissions |
| Podcast | No |
| WIP Number | MG9C-01-00-00-00 |