Geopolitical Chaos Disrupts the Global Aircraft Market, 2019–2030

Geopolitical Chaos Disrupts the Global Aircraft Market, 2019–2030

Development of New Products Defines Recovery and Growth Opportunities

RELEASE DATE
11-Dec-2020
REGION
Global
Research Code: K56C-01-00-00-00
SKU: AE01444-GL-MT_25030

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Description

The global aircraft market saw a year of turmoil in 2019 as the Boeing 737 MAX saga disrupted production from the commercial aircraft perspective. 2020 has dwarfed the woes of the previous year as the COVID-19 pandemic has thrashed through every facet of the sector, showing mercy to few. Most evaluations see the industry as a whole recovering in the years to come.

How long will it take and which segments will recover faster?
This study dives into both production and fleet forecasts for all aircraft around the globe. The aim is to provide an inclusive document that encompasses all aircraft being produced and used for civil and military operations, fixed-wing and rotor propelled aircraft; piloted and unmanned aircraft; pleasure and mission flown, as well as commercially and privately owned aircraft.

The geopolitical chaos that followed the COVID-19 pandemic has become a major disruptive factor in the aircraft market. This new scenario has deepened the various challenges the industry was already facing and forced companies to redesign their business strategies for recovery and growth. An economic loss to customers, including airlines, lessors, as well as corporate aircraft clients, translates into cancellations of orders. Several of the OEMs and their suppliers will need to overcome new economic difficulties. Restructuring and job cuts will impact the productivity or even the continuity of several projects and programs.

The first effects of the new reality were major cutbacks in commercial aviation and a drop in demand from travelers, in the face of a health situation still full of uncertainty. Faced with this situation, airlines around the world are reconfiguring the composition of their fleets to accommodate the current scenario by initiating or accelerating the withdrawal of less-efficient and aging aircraft. The trickledown to OEMs and the supply chain is inevitable.

New technologies offer an opportunity for recovery and growth. Several competitors and suppliers are working on developments that will enable them to reduce fuel use and harness electrical power in the aircraft, making intensive use of advanced materials and learning from successful experiences in areas such as mobility and space travel.

General aviation aircraft is a broad market, and there will be a demand for training and sports aircraft. It is evident that UASs have begun to replace traditional aircraft for agricultural and industrial operations and are expected to take over surveillance, and search and rescue operations shortly (to the detriment of the helicopter sector as well).

The emergence of eVTOLs is already disrupting the industry; therefore, several companies in the sector, especially helicopter manufacturers, have assigned resources for the development of this type of aircraft and to not eventually lose market share.

Table of Contents

Executive Summary—Overview

Executive Summary—Trends

Why Is It Increasingly Difficult to Grow?

The Strategic Imperative 8™

The Impact of the Top Three Strategic Imperatives on the Aircraft Industry

Growth Opportunities Fuel the Growth Pipeline Engine™

Scope of Analysis, Global Aircraft Market

Market Segmentation, Global Aircraft Market

Key Competitors, Global Aircraft Market

Key Growth Metrics for the Global Aircraft Market

Growth Drivers for the Global Aircraft Market

Growth Restraints for the Global Aircraft Market

Forecast Assumptions, Global Aircraft Market

COVID-19 Impact on World GDP Growth

COVID-19 Impact on Key Regions

Revenue and Unit Delivery Forecast, Global Aircraft Market

Revenue Forecast by Segment, Global Aircraft Market

Revenue and Unit Delivery Forecast Analysis, Global Aircraft Market

Operating Fleet Forecast by Segment, Global Aircraft Market

Operating Fleet Forecast by Segment, Global Aircraft Market (Detailed)

Fleet Forecast Analysis, Global Aircraft Market

Competitive Environment, Global Aircraft Market

Key Growth Metrics—Commercial Aircraft Market

Unit Delivery and Revenue Forecast, Commercial Aircraft

Operating Fleet Forecast by Type, Commercial Aircraft

Unit Delivery by Manufacturer, Commercial Aircraft

Forecast Analysis, Commercial Aircraft Market

Key Growth Metrics—Corporate Aircraft Market

Unit Delivery by Aircraft Type and Revenue Forecast, Corporate Aircraft

Operating Fleet Forecast by Type, Corporate Aircraft

Unit Delivery by Manufacturer, Corporate Aircraft

Forecast Analysis, Corporate Aircraft

Key Growth Metrics—General Aviation Aircraft Market

Unit Delivery by Aircraft Type and Revenue Forecast, General Aviation Aircraft

Operating Fleet Forecast by Type, General Aviation Aircraft

Unit Delivery by Manufacturer, General Aviation Aircraft Market

Forecast Analysis, General Aviation Aircraft Market

Key Growth Metrics—Helicopters Market

Unit Delivery by Helicopter Type and Revenue Forecast, Helicopters Market

Operating Fleet Forecast, Helicopters Market

Unit Delivery by Manufacturer, Helicopters Market

Forecast Analysis, Helicopters Market

Adjacent Markets—Unmanned Aerial Systems

Adjacent Markets—Defense Aircraft

Growth Opportunity 1—Digitalization and Outcome-based Solutions for Efficiency, 2020

Growth Opportunity 1—Digitalization and Outcome-based Solutions for Efficiency, 2020 (continued)

Growth Opportunity 2—Research, Development, and Innovative Technologies for Future Growth, 2020

Growth Opportunity 2—Research, Development and Innovative Technologies for Future Growth, 2020 (continued)

Conclusions

List of Abbreviations and Acronyms

List of Aircraft Platforms Considered for the Study

Your Next Steps

Why Frost, Why Now?

List of Exhibits

List of Exhibits (continued)

Legal Disclaimer

Related Research
The global aircraft market saw a year of turmoil in 2019 as the Boeing 737 MAX saga disrupted production from the commercial aircraft perspective. 2020 has dwarfed the woes of the previous year as the COVID-19 pandemic has thrashed through every facet of the sector, showing mercy to few. Most evaluations see the industry as a whole recovering in the years to come. How long will it take and which segments will recover faster? This study dives into both production and fleet forecasts for all aircraft around the globe. The aim is to provide an inclusive document that encompasses all aircraft being produced and used for civil and military operations, fixed-wing and rotor propelled aircraft; piloted and unmanned aircraft; pleasure and mission flown, as well as commercially and privately owned aircraft. The geopolitical chaos that followed the COVID-19 pandemic has become a major disruptive factor in the aircraft market. This new scenario has deepened the various challenges the industry was already facing and forced companies to redesign their business strategies for recovery and growth. An economic loss to customers, including airlines, lessors, as well as corporate aircraft clients, translates into cancellations of orders. Several of the OEMs and their suppliers will need to overcome new economic difficulties. Restructuring and job cuts will impact the productivity or even the continuity of several projects and programs. The first effects of the new reality were major cutbacks in commercial aviation and a drop in demand from travelers, in the face of a health situation still full of uncertainty. Faced with this situation, airlines around the world are reconfiguring the composition of their fleets to accommodate the current scenario by initiating or accelerating the withdrawal of less-efficient and aging aircraft. The trickledown to OEMs and the supply chain is inevitable. New technologies offer an opportunity for recovery and growth. Several competitors and suppliers are working on developments that will enable them to reduce fuel use and harness electrical power in the aircraft, making intensive use of advanced materials and learning from successful experiences in areas such as mobility and space travel. General aviation aircraft is a broad market, and there will be a demand for training and sports aircraft. It is evident that UASs have begun to replace traditional aircraft for agricultural and industrial operations and are expected to take over surveillance, and search and rescue operations shortly (to the detriment of the helicopter sector as well). The emergence of eVTOLs is already disrupting the industry; therefore, several companies in the sector, especially helicopter manufacturers, have assigned resources for the development of this type of aircraft and to not eventually lose market share.
More Information
No Index No
Podcast No
Author Alejandro Gonzalez
Industries Aerospace, Defence and Security
WIP Number K56C-01-00-00-00
Is Prebook No
GPS Codes 9000-A1