Global Electric Vehicle Market Outlook, 2018

Global Electric Vehicle Market Outlook, 2018

More than 1.6 Million EVs are Likely to be Sold Globally

RELEASE DATE
27-Mar-2018
REGION
North America
Research Code: MDAB-01-00-00-00
SKU: AU01660-NA-MO_21724
$4,950.00
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Description

The electric vehicle market reached the 1.2-million sales mark for the first time, with more than 165 models available for sale. China is leading the market with 48% market share followed by Europe with 26%. Solid-state batteries are likely to be the 'game changers' of future battery chemistries, as they render 2.5 times higher density than lithium-ion. In the last 6 months, more than 10 automakers have announced future EV launch plans. Based on the announcements, EVs now have a market potential of about 25 million units that will be sold by 2025; more than 400 models will be made available.

The Tesla Gigafactory is currently 35% operational and aims to produce 50 GWh of batteries in 2018. On full capacity, it will manufacture 150 GWh which will power an equivalent of 1.5 million vehicles with a 100 kWh battery capacity. Toyota, Fisker and BMW are likely to be the first automakers to adopt the battery in its electric vehicles by 2023. The electric vehicle charging infrastructure challenge has not yet been addressed, as there is a need for more charging stations globally.

Currently, the density of charging stations is high in limited areas or regions where an EV sale is highest. EVs are likely to cost the same as conventional cars by 2020 which will be a huge threat to the conventional car industry. The EV industry will no longer require financial support from the government to regularise the price of an EV in the form of cash incentives. Logistics companies, such as DHL, DPD, TNT, etc., are switching to a 100% electric fleet by replacing current conventional vehicles with electric vehicles that are equally competent and a perfect fit for the business model. OEMs are shifting to 100% electric vans by 2020.

11 OEMs have announced EV milestones and targets. If all the announcements made so far were to come true, there will be about 25 million EVs sold by 2025 or 20% of all cars sold would be EVs. Energy and petrochemical companies have started investing heavily in establishing electric vehicle charging stations, as they are likely to be the biggest beneficiaries of the electric vehicle market. Shell acquired the largest infrastructure operator 'The New Motion' in the Netherlands which owns a network of 30,000 charging stations.

RESEARCH: INFOGRAPHIC

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Table of Contents

Top 7 Findings Expected to Influence the EV Car Market

Hybrid and Electric Vehicle Sales Mix to 2025

EV Market Outlook 2017—Global

EV Sales by Country—Top 10

EV Targets Announced by OEMs in 2017

Battery Capacity Range and Impact on Battery Price Roadmap

Geographical Distribution of Charging Stations

Battery Portfolio—Battery Value Chain Mapping

Ecosystem—Electric Vehicles and Energy Management System

Analysis of Motor Rating Broken Down by Power Range

Why Urban Logistics will Shape the Electric Light Commercial Vehicle?

Key Factors Shaping the Future of Electric Light Commercial Vehicle

Trends in Automotive Retail Stores

New Dedicated Platforms—Powertrain Flexibility Comparison

Research Scope

Research Aims and Objectives

Key Questions this Study will Answer

Research Background

Research Methodology

Key OEMs or Participant Groups Compared in this Study

Top 7 Findings Expected to Influence the EV Car Market

Key Predictions for 2018

EV Targets Announced by OEMs in 2017

Hybrid and Electric Vehicle Sales Mix to 2025

xEV Passenger Car Breakdown by Region, Including Hybrids—2025

Electric Vehicles Sold in the Last Decade

EV Market Outlook 2017—Global

EV Market Outlook 2018—Global

Monthly EV Sales by EV Type and Top 5 Selling Models

Top 10 OEMs and Model Sales—2016 and 2017

EV Sales by Country—Top 10

Sales Forecast by Region and Technology

Sales by Top OEM—2017 vs. 2018

Top Five Selling Models—2017

Market Outlook—Europe

Market Outlook—North America

Market Outlook—China

Market Outlook—Japan

Market Outlook—South Korea

2018 Outlook—Europe

2018 Outlook—North America

2018 Outlook—China

2018 Outlook—Japan

2018 Outlook—South Korea

Electric Vehicle Battery Trends

Battery Capacity Range and Impact on Battery Price Roadmap

Battery Production Capacity to 2020

Battery Portfolio—Battery Supply Chain by Battery Cell Chemistry

Battery Portfolio—Battery Chemistry Adoption Trend (OEM)

Beyond 2025—Solid-State Batteries

Battery Portfolio—Battery Value Chain Mapping

Battery Portfolio—Battery Value Chain Mapping (Premium Segment OEM)

Current Benchmarking of OEM Sourcing Strategies

Battery Active Thermal Management Systems by OEM

Global xEV Motor Market Estimates

eMotors—Future Intended Sourcing Strategies

Analysis of Motor Rating Broken Down by Power Range

Future xEV Motor Technology Migration

Trends in Automotive Retail Stores

EV only Retail Store or Mixed Retailing Concept?

OEM Retail Strategies

Recommended EV Retail Elements—Critical Success Factors

Financial Lease Type Segmentation

BEV Launches

PHEV Launches

PHEV Launches (continued)

Overview of Incentives

Overview of Incentives (continued)

Incentive Structure in China

Incentives Structure in the US

Incentives Structure in Europe

Incentives Structure in Europe (continued)

Incentives Structure in Europe (continued)

Incentives Structure for India, Malaysia and Thailand

Geographical Distribution of Charging Stations

Existing Charging Infrastructure

EV Charging Infrastructure Deployment by Type—EU

Existing Charging Infrastructure

EV Charging Infrastructure Deployment by Type—US

The Next Wave of Charging—Ultra-Fast Charging

Vehicle-side Charging Technology Roadmap—BEV & PHEV

Analysis of Charging Capacity—By OEM

Wireless Electric Charging Roadmap—OEM Plans

Wireless Charging Market Estimates

Establishment of the 1st Pan—European EV Charging Network

EV Charging Infrastructure Protocols

Summary of eLCV Market

Why Urban Logistics will Shape the eLCV?

Key Factors Shaping the Future of Electric Light Commercial Vehicle

Vehicle Range and Battery Capacity for eLCVs

Global Electric Light Commercial Vehicle Market, 2017

Electric Light Commercial Vehicles—Expected Launches

Case Study—DHL Goal for Emission-Free Delivery & Logistics

Case Study—DHL’s Unique Express ‘City Logistics’ Solutions

eLCVs in the Delivery and Logistics Business—DHL

eLCVs in the Delivery and Logistics Business—UK Royal Mail

Use Case—Municipality of Lisbon

Regional FCEV Strategies

Regional FCEV Strategies (continued)

Market Size—Top Markets by Sales Volume

Expected Model Launches

Cost of Fuel Cell Stack Current and Future Trends

Growth Opportunity

Strategic Imperatives for Electric Vehicle Market

Conclusion and Recommendations

Legal Disclaimer

List of Exhibits

List of Exhibits (continued)

List of Exhibits (continued)

List of Exhibits (continued)

List of Exhibits (continued)

List of Exhibits (continued)

List of Exhibits (continued)

List of Exhibits (continued)

List of Exhibits (continued)

List of Exhibits (continued)

Market Leaders

Large Volume OEMs

Core Competencies of Tesla

BEV Segmentation

Definition of EV Charging Infrastructure

Market Engineering Methodology

Related Research
The electric vehicle market reached the 1.2-million sales mark for the first time, with more than 165 models available for sale. China is leading the market with 48% market share followed by Europe with 26%. Solid-state batteries are likely to be the 'game changers' of future battery chemistries, as they render 2.5 times higher density than lithium-ion. In the last 6 months, more than 10 automakers have announced future EV launch plans. Based on the announcements, EVs now have a market potential of about 25 million units that will be sold by 2025; more than 400 models will be made available. The Tesla Gigafactory is currently 35% operational and aims to produce 50 GWh of batteries in 2018. On full capacity, it will manufacture 150 GWh which will power an equivalent of 1.5 million vehicles with a 100 kWh battery capacity. Toyota, Fisker and BMW are likely to be the first automakers to adopt the battery in its electric vehicles by 2023. The electric vehicle charging infrastructure challenge has not yet been addressed, as there is a need for more charging stations globally. Currently, the density of charging stations is high in limited areas or regions where an EV sale is highest. EVs are likely to cost the same as conventional cars by 2020 which will be a huge threat to the conventional car industry. The EV industry will no longer require financial support from the government to regularise the price of an EV in the form of cash incentives. Logistics companies, such as DHL, DPD, TNT, etc., are switching to a 100% electric fleet by replacing current conventional vehicles with electric vehicles that are equally competent and a perfect fit for the business model. OEMs are shifting to 100% electric vans by 2020. 11 OEMs have announced EV milestones and targets. If all the announcements made so far were to come true, there will be about 25 million EVs sold by 2025 or 20% of all cars sold would be EVs. Energy and petrochemical companies have started investing heavily
More Information
No Index No
Podcast No
Author Prajyot Sathe
Industries Automotive
WIP Number MDAB-01-00-00-00
Is Prebook No
GPS Codes 9673-A6,9800-A6,9807-A6,9813-A6,9882-A6,9AF6-A6,9B07-C1,9B15-A6