Global Electric Vehicle Market Outlook, 2018

More than 1.6 Million EVs are Likely to be Sold Globally

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The electric vehicle market reached the 1.2-million sales mark for the first time, with more than 165 models available for sale. China is leading the market with 48% market share followed by Europe with 26%. Solid-state batteries are likely to be the 'game changers' of future battery chemistries, as they render 2.5 times higher density than lithium-ion. In the last 6 months, more than 10 automakers have announced future EV launch plans. Based on the announcements, EVs now have a market potential of about 25 million units that will be sold by 2025; more than 400 models will be made available. The Tesla Gigafactory is currently 35% operational and aims to produce 50 GWh of batteries in 2018. On full capacity, it

Table of Contents

Executive SummaryTop 7 Findings Expected to Influence the EV Car MarketHybrid and Electric Vehicle Sales Mix to 2025EV Market Outlook 2017—GlobalEV Sales by Country—Top 10EV Targets Announced by OEMs in 2017Battery Capacity Range and Impact on Battery Price RoadmapGeographical Distribution of Charging StationsBattery Portfolio—Battery Value Chain MappingEcosystem—Electric Vehicles and Energy Management SystemAnalysis of Motor Rating Broken Down by Power RangeWhy Urban Logistics will Shape the Electric Light Commercial Vehicle?Key Factors Shaping the Future of Electric Light Commercial VehicleTrends in Automotive Retail StoresNew Dedicated Platforms—Powertrain Flexibility ComparisonResearch Scope and SegmentationResearch ScopeResearch Aims and ObjectivesKey Questions this Study will AnswerResearch BackgroundResearch MethodologyKey OEMs or Participant Groups Compared in this Study2017 Industry Key FindingsTop 7 Findings Expected to Influence the EV Car MarketKey Predictions for 2018 EV Targets Announced by OEMs in 2017Hybrid and Electric Vehicle Sales Mix to 2025xEV Passenger Car Breakdown by Region, Including Hybrids—2025Market MeasurementsElectric Vehicles Sold in the Last DecadeEV Market Outlook 2017—GlobalEV Market Outlook 2018—GlobalMonthly EV Sales by EV Type and Top 5 Selling ModelsTop 10 OEMs and Model Sales—2016 and 2017EV Sales by Country—Top 10Sales Forecast by Region and TechnologySales by Top OEM—2017 vs. 2018Top Five Selling Models—20172017 Regional OutlookMarket Outlook—EuropeMarket Outlook—North AmericaMarket Outlook—ChinaMarket Outlook—JapanMarket Outlook—South Korea2018 Regional Outlook2018 Outlook—Europe2018 Outlook—North America2018 Outlook—China2018 Outlook—Japan2018 Outlook—South KoreaElectric Vehicles Battery AnalysisElectric Vehicle Battery TrendsBattery Capacity Range and Impact on Battery Price RoadmapBattery Production Capacity to 2020Battery Portfolio—Battery Supply Chain by Battery Cell ChemistryBattery Portfolio—Battery Chemistry Adoption Trend (OEM)Beyond 2025—Solid-State Batteries Battery Portfolio—Battery Value Chain MappingBattery Portfolio—Battery Value Chain Mapping (Premium Segment OEM)Current Benchmarking of OEM Sourcing StrategiesBattery Active Thermal Management Systems by OEMElectric Vehicles Motor AnalysisGlobal xEV Motor Market EstimateseMotors—Future Intended Sourcing StrategiesAnalysis of Motor Rating Broken Down by Power RangeFuture xEV Motor Technology MigrationEV Retail SalesTrends in Automotive Retail StoresEV only Retail Store or Mixed Retailing Concept?OEM Retail StrategiesRecommended EV Retail Elements—Critical Success FactorsFinancial Lease Type SegmentationFuture EV LaunchesBEV Launches PHEV Launches PHEV Launches (continued)Incentives and SubsidiesOverview of IncentivesOverview of Incentives (continued)Incentive Structure in ChinaIncentives Structure in the USIncentives Structure in EuropeIncentives Structure in Europe (continued)Incentives Structure in Europe (continued)Incentives Structure for India, Malaysia and ThailandCharging Station Infrastructure TrendsGeographical Distribution of Charging StationsExisting Charging InfrastructureEV Charging Infrastructure Deployment by Type—EUExisting Charging InfrastructureEV Charging Infrastructure Deployment by Type—USThe Next Wave of Charging—Ultra-Fast Charging Vehicle-side Charging Technology Roadmap—BEV & PHEVAnalysis of Charging Capacity—By OEMWireless Electric Charging Roadmap—OEM PlansWireless Charging Market Estimates Establishment of the 1st Pan—European EV Charging NetworkEV Charging Infrastructure ProtocolseLCV OutlookSummary of eLCV MarketWhy Urban Logistics will Shape the eLCV?Key Factors Shaping the Future of Electric Light Commercial VehicleVehicle Range and Battery Capacity for eLCVsGlobal Electric Light Commercial Vehicle Market, 2017Electric Light Commercial Vehicles—Expected LaunchesCase Study—DHL Goal for Emission-Free Delivery & LogisticsCase Study—DHL’s Unique Express ‘City Logistics’ SolutionseLCVs in the Delivery and Logistics Business—DHLeLCVs in the Delivery and Logistics Business—UK Royal MailUse Case—Municipality of LisbonFuel Cells OutlookRegional FCEV StrategiesRegional FCEV Strategies (continued)Market Size—Top Markets by Sales VolumeExpected Model LaunchesCost of Fuel Cell Stack Current and Future TrendsGrowth Opportunities and Companies to ActionGrowth OpportunityStrategic Imperatives for Electric Vehicle MarketKey Conclusion and Future OutlookConclusion and RecommendationsLegal DisclaimerAppendixList of ExhibitsList of Exhibits (continued)List of Exhibits (continued)List of Exhibits (continued)List of Exhibits (continued)List of Exhibits (continued)List of Exhibits (continued)List of Exhibits (continued)List of Exhibits (continued)List of Exhibits (continued)Market LeadersLarge Volume OEMsCore Competencies of TeslaBEV Segmentation Definition of EV Charging Infrastructure Market Engineering Methodology


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