Independent Power Plant (IPP) Market in South and Southeast Asia, Trends in 2017

Independent Power Plant (IPP) Market in South and Southeast Asia, Trends in 2017

Developing Asia Continues to be a Powerhouse in IPP Growth as Energy Demand Soars

RELEASE DATE
15-Jun-2017
REGION
Asia Pacific
Research Code: P9A6-01-00-00-00
SKU: EG01780-AP-MR_20283

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Description

Developing Asia, which has significant peak power shortages and substantial electrification gaps, offers abundant opportunities for private developers or Independent Power Producers (IPPs). A massive 184.4GW of expected IPP capacity additions between 2015 and 2020, makes it perhaps the largest region for new-build power plants. With the cooling down of the Chinese economy, developing Asia offers the most attractive growth opportunity for IPP companies and investors.

Increasing energy demand due to economic growth and increase in population and urbanization have necessitated the governments of all countries to develop policies that open up the power generation sector to attract private investments. The implementation of these policies and actual investments have had varying levels of success. Many of these policies have evolved over the years, through amendments made after past mistakes and controversies as in the case of India and Indonesia. Countries such as Malaysia, the Philippines, and Thailand have had a relatively uninterrupted IPP market development, but not without criticism that these countries patronize a select few local conglomerates.

Some countries such as India, the Philippines, Thailand, and Bangladesh have unbundled the traditional monopolistic electricity markets into separate generation, transmission and distribution companies, since the beginning of this century. They have set up independent regulatory and planning agencies outside the remit of incumbent utilities. While others such as Malaysia, Indonesia, and Laos have not unbundled their monopolies but are fairly mature IPP markets because of private investment in power generation for nearly two decades. Other countries have a fledgling power sector under the high investment risk category and hence, are struggling to attract investment.

Despite current economic conditions, the IPP market growth outlook is still optimistic, considering that South Asia and many of these Southeast Asian countries are expected to have some of the highest GDP growth rates in the world. Governments are putting in place policy frameworks and institutional mechanisms to attract investment and facilitate the development of IPPs to power their growth.

This IPP market study covers Southeast Asia and South Asia. Countries included in Southeast Asia are Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Myanmar, the Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam. South Asian countries include Bangladesh, India, and Sri Lanka.

Key Questions This Study Will Answer
What are power sector structures like in Asia? What are the energy mixes in these countries?
What is the forecast of IPP installed capacity growth in Asia?
What are the upcoming IPP projects and which market participants are involved in them?
What are the market risks in each country for IPP development?

Table of Contents

Key Findings

Research Scope

Definitions

Power Sector Structure

Market Dynamics

Installed Capacity Forecast

Future IPP Projects in Cambodia

Country Risk Analysis

Power Sector Structure

Market Dynamics

Installed Capacity Forecast

Upcoming Top 10 IPP Projects in Indonesia

Country Risk Analysis

Power Sector Structure

Market Dynamics

Installed Capacity Forecast

Upcoming Top 10 IPP Projects in Laos

Country Risk Analysis

Power Sector Structure

Market Dynamics

Installed Capacity Forecast

Upcoming Top 10 IPP Projects in Malaysia

Country Risk Analysis

Power Sector Structure

Market Dynamics

Installed Capacity Forecast

Upcoming Top 10 IPP Projects in Myanmar

Country Risk Analysis

Power Sector Structure

Market Dynamics

Installed Capacity Forecast

Upcoming Top 10 IPP Projects in The Philippines

Country Risk Analysis

Power Sector Structure

Market Dynamics

Installed Capacity Forecast

Upcoming Top 10 IPP Projects in Thailand

Country Risk Analysis

Power Sector Structure

Market Dynamics

Installed Capacity Forecast

Upcoming Top 10 IPP Projects in Vietnam

Country Risk Analysis

Power Sector Structure

Market Dynamics

Installed Capacity Forecast

Upcoming Top 10 IPP Projects in Bangladesh

Country Risk Analysis

Power Sector Structure

Market Dynamics

Installed Capacity Forecast

Upcoming Top 10 IPP Plants In India

Country Risk Analysis

Power Sector Structure

Market Dynamics

Installed Capacity Forecast

Upcoming IPP Projects in Sri Lanka

Country Risk Analysis

Growth Opportunity—Market Ripe for IPP Expansion

Expansion Opportunities for IPPs in Southeast Asia

Expansion Opportunities for IPPs in South Asia

Strategic Imperatives for Success and Growth

Last Words

Legal Disclaimer

Example of IPP Market Participants

List of Figures
  • 1. IPP Market: Power Sector Structure, Cambodia, 2016
  • 2. IPP Market: Power Sector Structure, Indonesia, 2016
  • 3. IPP Market: Power Sector Structure, Laos, 2016
  • 4. IPP Market: Power Sector Structure, Malaysia, 2016
  • 5. IPP Market: Power Sector Structure, Myanmar, 2016
  • 6. IPP Market: Power Sector Structure, The Philippines, 2016
  • 7. IPP Market: Power Sector Structure, Thailand, 2016
  • 8. IPP Market: Power Sector Structure, Vietnam, 2016
  • 9. IPP Market: Power Sector Structure, Bangladesh, 2016
  • 10. IPP Market: Power Sector Structure, India, 2016
  • 11. IPP Market: Power Sector Structure, Sri Lanka, 2016
List of Charts
  • 1. Energy Mix Forecast by Installed Capacity, Cambodia, 2015, 2020, and 2030
  • 2. IPP Market: Power Generation Ownership Forecast, Cambodia, 2015 and 2020
  • 3. Energy Mix Forecast by Installed Capacity, Indonesia, 2015, 2020, and 2025
  • 4. IPP Market: Power Generation Ownership Forecast, Indonesia, 2015 and 2020
  • 5. Energy Mix Forecast by Installed Capacity, Laos, 2015 and 2020
  • 6. IPP Market: Power Generation Ownership Forecast, Laos, 2015 and 2020
  • 7. Energy Mix Forecast by Installed Capacity, Malaysia, 2015, 2020, and 2025
  • 8. IPP Market: Power Generation Ownership Forecast, Malaysia, 2015 and 2020
  • 9. Energy Mix Forecast by Installed Capacity, Myanmar, 2015–2030
  • 10. IPP Market: Power Generation Ownership Forecast, Myanmar, 2015 and 2020
  • 11. Energy Mix Forecast by Installed Capacity, The Philippines, 2015, 2022, and 2028
  • 12. IPP Market: Power Generation Ownership Forecast, The Philippines, 2015 and 2020
  • 13. Energy Mix Forecast by Installed Capacity, Thailand, 2015–2035
  • 14. IPP Market: Power Generation Ownership Forecast, Thailand, 2015 and 2020
  • 15. Energy Mix Forecast by Installed Capacity, Vietnam, 2015, 2020, and 2030
  • 16. IPP Market: Power Generation Ownership Forecast, Vietnam, 2015 and 2020
  • 17. Energy Mix Forecast by Installed Capacity, Bangladesh, 2015–2030
  • 18. IPP Market: Power Generation Ownership Forecast, Bangladesh, 2015 and 2020
  • 19. Energy Mix Forecast by Installed Capacity, India, 2015, 2020, 2025, and 2030
  • 20. IPP Market: Power Generation Ownership Forecast, India, 2015 and 2020
  • 21. Energy Mix Forecast by Installed Capacity, Sri Lanka, 2015–2030
  • 22. IPP Market: Power Generation Ownership Forecast, Sri Lanka, 2015 and 2020
  • 23. IPP Market: Installed Capacity Forecast, Southeast Asia, 2015, 2020, and 2030
  • 24. IPP Market: Installed Capacity Forecast, South Asia, 2015, 2020, and 2025
Related Research
Developing Asia, which has significant peak power shortages and substantial electrification gaps, offers abundant opportunities for private developers or Independent Power Producers (IPPs). A massive 184.4GW of expected IPP capacity additions between 2015 and 2020, makes it perhaps the largest region for new-build power plants. With the cooling down of the Chinese economy, developing Asia offers the most attractive growth opportunity for IPP companies and investors. Increasing energy demand due to economic growth and increase in population and urbanization have necessitated the governments of all countries to develop policies that open up the power generation sector to attract private investments. The implementation of these policies and actual investments have had varying levels of success. Many of these policies have evolved over the years, through amendments made after past mistakes and controversies as in the case of India and Indonesia. Countries such as Malaysia, the Philippines, and Thailand have had a relatively uninterrupted IPP market development, but not without criticism that these countries patronize a select few local conglomerates. Some countries such as India, the Philippines, Thailand, and Bangladesh have unbundled the traditional monopolistic electricity markets into separate generation, transmission and distribution companies, since the beginning of this century. They have set up independent regulatory and planning agencies outside the remit of incumbent utilities. While others such as Malaysia, Indonesia, and Laos have not unbundled their monopolies but are fairly mature IPP markets because of private investment in power generation for nearly two decades. Other countries have a fledgling power sector under the high investment risk category and hence, are struggling to attract investment. Despite current economic conditions, the IPP market growth outlook is still optimistic, considering that South Asia and many of these Southeast Asian countr
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Table of Contents | Executive Summary~ || Key Findings~ | Introduction~ || Research Scope~ || Definitions~ | Cambodia~ || Power Sector Structure~ || Market Dynamics~ || Installed Capacity Forecast~ || Future IPP Projects in Cambodia~ || Country Risk Analysis~ | Indonesia~ || Power Sector Structure~ || Market Dynamics~ || Installed Capacity Forecast~ || Upcoming Top 10 IPP Projects in Indonesia~ || Country Risk Analysis~ | Laos~ || Power Sector Structure~ || Market Dynamics~ || Installed Capacity Forecast~ || Upcoming Top 10 IPP Projects in Laos~ || Country Risk Analysis~ | Malaysia~ || Power Sector Structure~ || Market Dynamics~ || Installed Capacity Forecast~ || Upcoming Top 10 IPP Projects in Malaysia~ || Country Risk Analysis~ | Myanmar~ || Power Sector Structure~ || Market Dynamics~ || Installed Capacity Forecast~ || Upcoming Top 10 IPP Projects in Myanmar~ || Country Risk Analysis~ | The Philippines~ || Power Sector Structure~ || Market Dynamics~ || Installed Capacity Forecast~ || Upcoming Top 10 IPP Projects in The Philippines~ || Country Risk Analysis~ | Thailand~ || Power Sector Structure~ || Market Dynamics~ || Installed Capacity Forecast~ || Upcoming Top 10 IPP Projects in Thailand~ || Country Risk Analysis~ | Vietnam~ || Power Sector Structure~ || Market Dynamics~ || Installed Capacity Forecast~ || Upcoming Top 10 IPP Projects in Vietnam~ || Country Risk Analysis~ | Bangladesh~ || Power Sector Structure~ || Market Dynamics~ || Installed Capacity Forecast~ || Upcoming Top 10 IPP Projects in Bangladesh~ || Country Risk Analysis~ | India~ || Power Sector Structure~ || Market Dynamics~ || Installed Capacity Forecast~ || Upcoming Top 10 IPP Plants In India~ || Country Risk Analysis~ | Sri Lanka~ || Power Sector Structure~ || Market Dynamics~ || Installed Capacity Forecast~ || Upcoming IPP Projects in Sri Lanka~ || Country Risk Analysis~ | Growth Opportunities and Call to Action~ || Growth Opportunity—Market Ripe for IPP Expansion~ || Expansion Opportunities for IPPs in Southeast Asia~ || Expansion Opportunities for IPPs in South Asia ~ || Strategic Imperatives for Success and Growth~ | Conclusion~ || Last Words~ || Legal Disclaimer~ | Appendix~ || Example of IPP Market Participants~ | The Frost & Sullivan Story~
List of Charts and Figures 1. IPP Market: Power Sector Structure, Cambodia, 2016~ 2. IPP Market: Power Sector Structure, Indonesia, 2016~ 3. IPP Market: Power Sector Structure, Laos, 2016~ 4. IPP Market: Power Sector Structure, Malaysia, 2016~ 5. IPP Market: Power Sector Structure, Myanmar, 2016~ 6. IPP Market: Power Sector Structure, The Philippines, 2016~ 7. IPP Market: Power Sector Structure, Thailand, 2016~ 8. IPP Market: Power Sector Structure, Vietnam, 2016~ 9. IPP Market: Power Sector Structure, Bangladesh, 2016~ 10. IPP Market: Power Sector Structure, India, 2016~ 11. IPP Market: Power Sector Structure, Sri Lanka, 2016~| 1. Energy Mix Forecast by Installed Capacity, Cambodia, 2015, 2020, and 2030~ 2. IPP Market: Power Generation Ownership Forecast, Cambodia, 2015 and 2020~ 3. Energy Mix Forecast by Installed Capacity, Indonesia, 2015, 2020, and 2025~ 4. IPP Market: Power Generation Ownership Forecast, Indonesia, 2015 and 2020~ 5. Energy Mix Forecast by Installed Capacity, Laos, 2015 and 2020~ 6. IPP Market: Power Generation Ownership Forecast, Laos, 2015 and 2020~ 7. Energy Mix Forecast by Installed Capacity, Malaysia, 2015, 2020, and 2025~ 8. IPP Market: Power Generation Ownership Forecast, Malaysia, 2015 and 2020~ 9. Energy Mix Forecast by Installed Capacity, Myanmar, 2015–2030~ 10. IPP Market: Power Generation Ownership Forecast, Myanmar, 2015 and 2020~ 11. Energy Mix Forecast by Installed Capacity, The Philippines, 2015, 2022, and 2028~ 12. IPP Market: Power Generation Ownership Forecast, The Philippines, 2015 and 2020~ 13. Energy Mix Forecast by Installed Capacity, Thailand, 2015–2035~ 14. IPP Market: Power Generation Ownership Forecast, Thailand, 2015 and 2020~ 15. Energy Mix Forecast by Installed Capacity, Vietnam, 2015, 2020, and 2030~ 16. IPP Market: Power Generation Ownership Forecast, Vietnam, 2015 and 2020~ 17. Energy Mix Forecast by Installed Capacity, Bangladesh, 2015–2030~ 18. IPP Market: Power Generation Ownership Forecast, Bangladesh, 2015 and 2020~ 19. Energy Mix Forecast by Installed Capacity, India, 2015, 2020, 2025, and 2030~ 20. IPP Market: Power Generation Ownership Forecast, India, 2015 and 2020~ 21. Energy Mix Forecast by Installed Capacity, Sri Lanka, 2015–2030~ 22. IPP Market: Power Generation Ownership Forecast, Sri Lanka, 2015 and 2020~ 23. IPP Market: Installed Capacity Forecast, Southeast Asia, 2015, 2020, and 2030~ 24. IPP Market: Installed Capacity Forecast, South Asia, 2015, 2020, and 2025~
Author Suchitra Sriram
Industries Energy
WIP Number P9A6-01-00-00-00
Is Prebook No
GPS Codes 9301-A4,9597,9851,9852