Indonesia Automotive Outlook, 2021

Automotive Indonesia Automotive Outlook, 2021

Future Growth Potential of the Automotive Industry due to Sector-Focused Incentives that Cushion Economic Recovery

INDUSTRY
Automotive

RELEASE DATE
02-Sep-2021
REGION
Asia Pacific
DELIVERABLE TYPE
Market Research

RESEARCH CODE
PB8D-01-00-00-00
SKU
AU02219-AP-MT_25741
Yes
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Indonesia Automotive Outlook, 2021
Published on: 02-Sep-2021 | SKU: AU02219-AP-MT_25741

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In 2020, Indonesia’s automotive total industry volume (TIV) dropped by 48.4%, compared to 2019, with only 532,030 units being sold. The passenger vehicle (PV) segment remained dominant with 73.1% market share. The economic growth for 2020 was the weakest since the 1998 Asian financial crisis. Factors impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic include Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth, purchasing power, and the automotive industry development.

The largest contribution to passenger car sales was from segments with products priced at IDR 250 million and below, which were mainly the 4X2 and LCGC segments. The 4X2 segment’s slight growth has been supported by new model releases from top-selling brands, which appeals to the less-affected upper middle income group buyers. This is comparable to low cost green car (LCGC) segment that had no new models or variants introduced, and mainly catered to lower middle income groups with spending restrained during the pandemic.

In the commercial vehicle (CV) segment, pick-up maintained sales with sustained demand in the logistics and eCommerce market. Bus demand was limited with strict inter-provincial travel restrictions during the year’s COVID-19 pandemic, and heavy-duty vehicles find staggering decrease due to decline in construction activities.

In 2021, Indonesia’s TIV is projected to improve with 36.3% growth, following slow economic recovery as well as Phase 1 COVID-19 vaccination that is targeted for completion as early as March. Indonesia’s GDP is expected to rebound from (2.1%) growth in 2020 to 5.1% in 2021, contributed by recovery of major trade and manufacturing industries.

Indonesian government is expected to come up with right-on-target stimulus plans for the automotive industry as regulatory aid is needed to bolster purchase in the market. Fiscal policies comprising of customs and import taxes should be considered following neighboring countries implementing protectionism measures to recover their respective domestic economies.

Due to the pandemic, eHailing and rental services have witnessed a staggering decline in demand due to social distancing and work-from-home policies. This trend is expected to continue in 2021 and will gradually improve as economic activities recover from recession.

On-demand delivery service is expected to continue to increase in 2021, accelerated by growth of eCommerce businesses and instant package deliveries. Operators in the shared mobility market are expected to continue to diversify their services within the same platform.

Highlights of Indonesia’s Automotive Industry

Challenges Faced by Indonesia’s Automotive Industry Due to COVID-19

Indonesia’s Automotive Industry in 2020—Actuals vs. Forecast

Indonesia’s Automotive Industry—Historic Sales

Top Predictions for 2021

Why Is It Increasingly Difficult to Grow?

The Strategic Imperative 8™

The Impact of the Top 3 Strategic Imperatives on the Automotive Industry

Growth Opportunities Fuel the Growth Pipeline Engine™

Research Scope

Market Segmentation

2020 Global Economic Highlights

The 2020 Global Economy—Actuals vs. Forecast

COVID-19 Impact on World GDP Growth

Global Growth Scenario Analysis—Assumptions

World GDP Growth Under Differing Scenarios

COVID-19 Impact on Key Regions

Top 2021 Global Economic Predictions

2021 Global GDP Growth Snapshot

Advanced Economies—Predictions for 2021

Emerging Economies—Predictions for 2021

2021 Growth Opportunities—Top 3 Opportunities by Region

2021 Regional Trends—GDP Growth, Economic Risks, and Policy Direction

Indonesia—Economic Perspective

Indonesia—Industry Performance

Indonesia—2020 Highlights

Indonesia: Economic Stimulus Packages—COVID-19 Relief

Indonesia: What is Happening?—An Overview of the Omnibus Law

Indonesia: What is Next?—Proposal for Capital City Relocation

Snapshot of Indonesia’s Automotive Market

Automotive Market Breakdown by Vehicle Segments

Leading OEMs and Vehicle Models in Indonesia

Policy Direction

Overview of Policies Related to the Automotive Industry

LCEV Program—Policy Framework

BEV Acceleration Program—Policy Framework

National Energy Policy and Master Plan (RUEN)—Policy Framework

Biofuel Development Road Map—Policy Framework

Emission Standard and Fuel Specification—Policy Framework

Existing Incentives for the Automotive Sector, an Overview

Predictions for 2021—Indonesia’s Automotive Market

Government Regulations on EVs

BEV Acceleration Program (Presidential Decree No. 55/2019)

Specification, Road Map, and Percentage of Local Content (MOI Regulation 27/2020)

Specification, Road Map, and Percentage of Local Content (MOI Regulation 27/2020) (continued)

Specification, Road Map, and Percentage of Local Content (MOI Regulation 27/2020) (continued)

CKD and IKD Schemes (MOI Regulation 28/2020)

Implemented Fiscal Incentives for EVs

EV Type Testing (MOTp Regulation 44/2020)

EV Charging Infrastructure (MEMR Regulation 13/2020)

HEV and EV Market Snapshot

HEV and EV Product Pricing

Charging Infrastructure Snapshot

Charging Operators

Charging Infrastructure Development Plan in Indonesia

Key Predictions for 2021—Indonesia’s HEV and EV Market

Government Regulations

Shared Mobility—Definition

Car-sharing Market Snapshot

Leading Car-sharing Operators

eHailing Market Snapshot

eHailing Operators

Case Study—A Shift from Conventional Transport Services

Predictions for 2021—Indonesia’s Shared Mobility Market

Snapshot of Connected PV Solutions in Indonesia

Case Study—Mazda CX-5 Offers the Most Advanced Connected Mobility Solution

Snapshot of Connected CV Solutions in Indonesia

Predictions for 2021—Indonesia’s Connected Mobility Market

Main 2021 Automotive Market Trends

Prediction 1—PV Segment to see Modest Growth in 2021

Prediction 2—Noteworthy Growth in the EV Segment

Prediction 3—An Apparent Shift in Shared Mobility Providers

Growth Opportunity 1—New Product Development and New Product Launch for Battery Electric Vehicle Ecosystem Participants, 2021

Growth Opportunity 1—New Product Development and New Product Launch for Battery Electric Vehicle Ecosystem Participants, 2021 (continued)

Growth Opportunity 2—Strategic Partnership for EV Charging Operators, 2021

Growth Opportunity 2—Strategic Partnership for EV Charging Operators, 2021 (continued)

Growth Opportunity 3—Competitive Strategy for Battery Electric Vehicle Industry Participants, 2021

Growth Opportunity 3—Competitive Strategy for Battery Electric Vehicle Industry Participants, 2021 (continued)

Conclusions and Future Outlook—Overall Automotive Market

Abbreviations and Acronyms Used

Abbreviations and Acronyms Used (continued)

List of Exhibits

List of Exhibits (continued)

List of Exhibits (continued)

List of Exhibits (continued)

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In 2020, Indonesias automotive total industry volume (TIV) dropped by 48.4%, compared to 2019, with only 532,030 units being sold. The passenger vehicle (PV) segment remained dominant with 73.1% market share. The economic growth for 2020 was the weakest since the 1998 Asian financial crisis. Factors impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic include Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth, purchasing power, and the automotive industry development. The largest contribution to passenger car sales was from segments with products priced at IDR 250 million and below, which were mainly the 4X2 and LCGC segments. The 4X2 segments slight growth has been supported by new model releases from top-selling brands, which appeals to the less-affected upper middle income group buyers. This is comparable to low cost green car (LCGC) segment that had no new models or variants introduced, and mainly catered to lower middle income groups with spending restrained during the pandemic. In the commercial vehicle (CV) segment, pick-up maintained sales with sustained demand in the logistics and eCommerce market. Bus demand was limited with strict inter-provincial travel restrictions during the years COVID-19 pandemic, and heavy-duty vehicles find staggering decrease due to decline in construction activities. In 2021, Indonesias TIV is projected to improve with 36.3% growth, following slow economic recovery as well as Phase 1 COVID-19 vaccination that is targeted for completion as early as March. Indonesias GDP is expected to rebound from (2.1%) growth in 2020 to 5.1% in 2021, contributed by recovery of major trade and manufacturing industries. Indonesian government is expected to come up with right-on-target stimulus plans for the automotive industry as regulatory aid is needed to bolster purchase in the market. Fiscal policies comprising of customs and import taxes should be considered following neighboring countries implementing protectionism measures to recover their respective domestic economies. Due to the pandemic, eHailing and rental services have witnessed a staggering decline in demand due to social distancing and work-from-home policies. This trend is expected to continue in 2021 and will gradually improve as economic activities recover from recession. On-demand delivery service is expected to continue to increase in 2021, accelerated by growth of eCommerce businesses and instant package deliveries. Operators in the shared mobility market are expected to continue to diversify their services within the same platform.
More Information
Deliverable Type Market Research
No Index No
Podcast No
Author Farra. Nabila
Industries Automotive
WIP Number PB8D-01-00-00-00
Is Prebook No
GPS Codes 9673-A6,9800-A6,9AF6-A6