2030 Vision for the Aerospace Industry

Model Changes and New Market Entrants Complicate the Market

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The recent reductions in oil price appear to be long-term trends, which will reduce the drive for flight efficiency. However, fuel cost is still the single most significant operating cost for airlines and will impact all modernization decisions. Despite an improving economic environment, the heady days of the mid-2000s for business aircraft will not return. Defense budgets are under pressure globally, and the military aircraft market reflects that pressure. Market entry barriers will remain high due to the costs involved, but the market for small satellite launches will be the most competitive. There are purchases by countries all over the world, but the market in 2030 will be dominated by new sensor packages and not by new platforms.

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary
Top Trends for 2030
Top Predictions for 2030
Market Sales—2015 and 2030
Key Conclusions
2. Research Scope and Segmentation
Research Scope
Market Segmentation
Commercial Aviation
Military Aviation
UAVs
Research Methodology
3. Industry Convergence Implications
Impact of Top Mega Trends on the Aerospace Market
Industrial Technology Transfer
Internet of Things
4. Global Aerospace Forecast for 2030
Global Aerospace Revenue by Segment and Region in 2015 and 2030—A Snapshot
Markets by Delivery Revenue in 2015 and 2030
Market Share Winners of 2015
Key 2030 Aerospace Industry Trends
Engine Efficiency Improvements
Manufacturing Changes
Alternative Fuels
Connectivity Changes
OEMs’ Relations with Supply Chain
Air Traffic Management Changes
Electrification of Aircraft Systems
Reduced Military Program Starts
Trend 1—Engine Efficiency Improvements
Geared Turbofans
New Materials
Airflow Path Design
Trend 2—Manufacturing Changes
New Manufacturing Systems
Additive Manufacturing
Role of Automation
Trend 3—Alternative Fuels
Fuels Issues
Available Products
Trend 4—Connectivity Changes
Cockpit Communication Systems
National Programs
Transoceanic Connectivity
Trend 5—OEMs’ Relations with Supply Chain
Reviewing the Role of Suppliers
Redistribution of Program Revenues
Trend 6—Air Traffic Management Changes
Program Changes
Infrastructure Technology Changes
Trend 7—Electrification of Aircraft Systems
Electrification of Aircraft Systems
The Boeing 787 Example
Trend 8—Reduced Military Program Starts
New Procurement Environment
US Programs
Russian Programs
Chinese Programs
International Programs
5. Growth Opportunities
Key Regional Market—Global
New Program Milestones 2015
Upcoming New Product/Service Launches
6. Market Segments
Air Transport Segment Deliveries—2015 and 2030
Air Transport Segment Outlook 2015–2030
Business Aircraft Segment Deliveries—2015 and 2030
Business Aircraft Segment Outlook 2015–2030
Military Fixed Wing Aircraft Segment Deliveries—2015 and 2030
Military Aircraft Segment Outlook 2015–2030
Helicopter Segment Deliveries—2015 and 2030
Helicopter Segment Outlook 2015–2030
Unmanned Aircraft Segment Deliveries—2015 and 2030
Unmanned Aircraft Segment Outlook 2015–2030
7. Aerospace Industry Vision for 2030 by Region
Key Regional Market—North America
Key Regional Market—Europe
Key Regional Market—APAC
Key Regional Market—ROW
8. Growth Opportunities and Companies to Action
Transformation in Aerospace Industry Ecosystem—2016
Growth Opportunity 1—Single Aisle Efficiency
Growth Opportunity 2—Business Aircraft Developments
Growth Opportunity 3—Military Aircraft
Growth Opportunity 4—Unmanned Aircraft
Strategic Imperatives for Success and Growth
Key Technology Trends 2015 and 2030
9. Key Conclusions and Future Outlook
Key Conclusions
Legal Disclaimer
10. Appendix
Additional Sources of Information on Aerospace
Market Engineering Methodology


List of Figures & Charts

1. Total Aerospace Market: Delivery Revenue and Trend of Top 5 Participants, Global, 2014 and 2015
2. Total Aerospace Market: Key Technology Trends, Global, 2015 and 2030


1. Total Aerospace Market: Revenue Split by Product, Global, 2015
2. Total Aerospace Market: Revenue Breakdown by Region, Global, 2015
3. Total Aerospace Market: Revenue Breakdown by Region, Global, 2030
4. Total Aerospace Market: Revenue by Segment and Region, 2015 and 2030
5. Total Aerospace Market: Delivery Revenue Forecast by Region, Global, 2015 and 2030
6. Total Aerospace Market: Delivery Revenue and Trend of Top 5 Participants, Global, 2014 and 2015
7. Air Transport Aircraft Segment: Unit Delivery Forecast by Region and Type, Global, 2015 and 2030
8. Business Aircraft Segment: Unit Delivery Forecast by Region and Type, Global, 2015 and 2030
9. Military Fixed Wing Aircraft Segment: Unit Delivery Forecast by Region and Type, Global, 2015 and 2030
10. Helicopter Segment: Unit Delivery Forecast by Region and Type, Global, 2015 and 2030
11. Military Unmanned Aircraft Segment: Unit Delivery Forecast by Region, Global, 2015 and 2030
12. Civil/Commercial Unmanned Aircraft Segment: Unit Delivery Forecast by Region, Global, 2015 and 2030



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