European Rear Autonomous Emergency Braking (R-AEB) Market, Forecasts to 2030

European Rear Autonomous Emergency Braking (R-AEB) Market, Forecasts to 2030

Regulation to Play an Important Role in the Adoption of Technology and Subsequent Market Penetration

RELEASE DATE
23-Jun-2020
REGION
Europe
Research Code: MF4D-01-00-00-00
SKU: AU02015-EU-MR_24521

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Description

According to accident research conducted by the German Insurance Association up to 17% of collisions involving pedestrians and vehicles, leading to personal injury, occur at the rear side of the car. 70% of the accident victims were elderly or children below the age of 12 and an estimated 1,400 people are seriously injured in such incidences across Europe annually. Another such research conducted by Thatcham Research suggests that 1 in 6 pedestrian collisions are while reversing, typically injuring elderly and children, with the driver rarely braking.

These are some horrifying numbers especially considering the fact that vehicle speeds during reversing are less than 10 kilometres per hour (kph). Owing to the seriousness of the issue, the European New Car Assessment Program (EuroNCAP) has proposed that rear autonomous emergency braking (R-AEB) be introduced in vehicles starting 2020 as test criteria under the Vulnerable Road User (VRU) category. This marks a shift in focus from the safety of VRUs in front of the vehicle to the safety of all VRUs around the vehicle. Proliferation of this particular function is a necessary building block for the industry to champion safety of VRUs for the impetus to shift from driver assistance function to fully autonomous vehicles.

The aim of this study titled “European Rear Autonomous Emergency Braking (R-AEB) Market, Forecast to 2030” is to research, analyse, forecast, and provide an overview of the R-AEB trends in Europe and discuss the impact of these trends on the growth and deployment strategies of different OEMs and suppliers in the market. The study analyses various aspects of the market, such as regulations for R-AEB, types of R-AEB systems, market trends and forecasts, and industry growth opportunities.

Our research indicates that R-AEB penetration in Europe as of 2019 stood at a meagre.7% of the vehicles sold. The solution is expected to penetrate roughly 35.6% of the vehicles by 2030, with the market for it expanding at a CAGR of 23.3% primarily driven by regulatory mandates.

Level 4 autonomous parking function, which parks the vehicle by itself without human intervention, is expected to account for roughly 86% of the market by 2030. Systems offering these capabilities are expected to hit the market as soon as 2021 in the premium vehicle segment.

Key Features

The objective of the study is to:

  • Determine the market for R-AEB and the factors affecting it
  • Discuss the current market availability of R-AEB systems – by Overall R-AEB Penetration, OEM Group, and Vehicle Segment
  • Analyse the technology roadmap for rear AEB systems in Europe
  • Predict the future roadmap of OEMs with respect to R-AEB system deployment and the type of system used
  • Identify the capabilities of suppliers catering to the requirements of OEMs

Key Issues Addressed

  • What is the current and future scope of R-AEB applications across the passenger and light commercial vehicle segments in Europe?
  • What are the regulatory changes to EuroNCAP star rating pertaining to R-AEB?
  • What are the OEM strategies for R-AEB deployment in Europe?
  • What are the current and future capabilities of key suppliers offering R-AEB applications?
  • What are the avenues of growth for the R-AEB market in Europe until 2030?

Author: Manish Menon

Table of Contents

Executive Summary—Highlights

Key Findings

Overview of EuroNCAP Proposal for Rear AEB

Key Trends Impacting R-AEB

Total R-AEB Penetration

R-AEB Strategies by Vehicle Segment

R-AEB Strategies by OEM Groups

R-AEB Supplier Portfolio Snapshot

Key Conclusions

Research Scope

Research Aims and Objectives

Key Questions this Study will Answer

Research Background

Research Methodology

Key Participant Groups in this Study

SAE Definition for Levels of Automation

ADAS Classification as per SAE Definition

Product Definition

Product Segmentation

Product Segmentation (continued)

Vehicle Segmentation

R-AEB Regulations

Overview of EuroNCAP Proposal for Rear AEB

Point Allocation for Vulnerable Road User (VRU)

Functional Roadmap

Comparative Analysis of Various Automotive Sensors

Sensor Comparison—Today vs. Future

Key Trends Impacting R-AEB

Total R-AEB Penetration Forecast Scenario (Year-on-Year)

R-AEB Penetration Snapshot by Vehicle Segment

R-AEB Strategies by Vehicle Segment

OEM Group in Focus—BMW

OEM Group in Focus—Daimler

OEM Group in Focus—FCA

OEM Group in Focus—Ford

OEM Group in Focus—Geely

OEM Group in Focus—Hyundai

OEM Group in Focus—PSA

OEM Group in Focus—Renault-Nissan-Mitsubishi Alliance

OEM Group in Focus—Toyota

OEM Group in Focus—Volkswagen

OEM Group in Focus—Others

R-AEB Penetration Snapshot by OEM Group

R-AEB Strategies by OEM Groups

Growth Opportunities by Vehicle Segment

Comparative Penetration of R-AEB by Top 10 OEM Brands

R-AEB Portfolio Analysis of Top 4 OEM Brands—2019

R-AEB Portfolio Analysis Forecast of Top 4 OEM Brands—2030

R-AEB Supplier Portfolio Snapshot

Supplier Sensor Suite Offerings

Growth Opportunity—Investments and Partnerships From OEMs/TSPs

Strategic Imperatives for Success and Growth

Key Conclusions

The Last Word—3 Big Predictions

Legal Disclaimer

Market Engineering Methodology

List of Exhibits

List of Exhibits (continued)

List of Exhibits (continued)

List of Exhibits (continued)

List of Exhibits (continued)

List of Exhibits (continued)

Related Research
According to accident research conducted by the German Insurance Association up to 17% of collisions involving pedestrians and vehicles, leading to personal injury, occur at the rear side of the car. 70% of the accident victims were elderly or children below the age of 12 and an estimated 1,400 people are seriously injured in such incidences across Europe annually. Another such research conducted by Thatcham Research suggests that 1 in 6 pedestrian collisions are while reversing, typically injuring elderly and children, with the driver rarely braking. These are some horrifying numbers especially considering the fact that vehicle speeds during reversing are less than 10 kilometres per hour (kph). Owing to the seriousness of the issue, the European New Car Assessment Program (EuroNCAP) has proposed that rear autonomous emergency braking (R-AEB) be introduced in vehicles starting 2020 as test criteria under the Vulnerable Road User (VRU) category. This marks a shift in focus from the safety of VRUs in front of the vehicle to the safety of all VRUs around the vehicle. Proliferation of this particular function is a necessary building block for the industry to champion safety of VRUs for the impetus to shift from driver assistance function to fully autonomous vehicles. The aim of this study titled “European Rear Autonomous Emergency Braking (R-AEB) Market, Forecast to 2030” is to research, analyse, forecast, and provide an overview of the R-AEB trends in Europe and discuss the impact of these trends on the growth and deployment strategies of different OEMs and suppliers in the market. The study analyses various aspects of the market, such as regulations for R-AEB, types of R-AEB systems, market trends and forecasts, and industry growth opportunities. Our research indicates that R-AEB penetration in Europe as of 2019 stood at a meagre.7% of the vehicles sold. The solution is expected to penetrate roughly 35.6% of the vehicles by 2030, with the market for it expanding at a CAGR of 23.3% primarily driven by regulatory mandates. Level 4 autonomous parking function, which parks the vehicle by itself without human intervention, is expected to account for roughly 86% of the market by 2030. Systems offering these capabilities are expected to hit the market as soon as 2021 in the premium vehicle segment.--BEGIN PROMO--

Key Features

The objective of the study is to:

  • Determine the market for R-AEB and the factors affecting it
  • Discuss the current market availability of R-AEB systems – by Overall R-AEB Penetration, OEM Group, and Vehicle Segment
  • Analyse the technology roadmap for rear AEB systems in Europe
  • Predict the future roadmap of OEMs with respect to R-AEB system deployment and the type of system used
  • Identify the capabilities of suppliers catering to the requirements of OEMs

Key Issues Addressed

  • What is the current and future scope of R-AEB applications across the passenger and light commercial vehicle segments in Europe?
  • What are the regulatory changes to EuroNCAP star rating pertaining to R-AEB?
  • What are the OEM strategies for R-AEB deployment in Europe?
  • What are the current and future capabilities of key suppliers offering R-AEB applications?
  • What are the avenues of growth for the R-AEB market in Europe until 2030?

Author: Manish Menon

More Information
No Index No
Podcast No
Author Manish Menon
Industries Automotive
WIP Number MF4D-01-00-00-00
Is Prebook No
GPS Codes 9800-A6,9807-A6,9883-A6,9B13-A6