Global Military Transport Aircraft Market, Forecast to 2026

Global Military Transport Aircraft Market, Forecast to 2026

Increase in Coalition and Expeditionary Operations Fuelling Growth

RELEASE DATE
18-Feb-2019
REGION
Global
Research Code: MD44-01-00-00-00
SKU: AE01329-GL-MR_22868
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Description

Geopolitical situations across the globe have fueled a rise in active engagements with insurgents and non-state actors. This leads to an increase in the operational tempo of transport fleet, as a result of which aging aircraft need to be replaced. A collaborative approach in combating these challenges is seen, as exemplified in the actions of the Arab coalition led by Saudi Arabia, which fought Yemeni rebels, and the NATO MRTT program, which envisages the joint operation and maintenance of airborne tanker aircraft. At the same time, China and Russia have made expansionist moves in the South/East China Sea and Crimea, respectively, and have indicated possible enhanced participation in global conflicts. Russian intervention in Syria attests to this fact. Both the nations are poised to expand their strategic lift and tactical transport capabilities.

The market will open up for heavy transports as old Il-76 used by countries such as Algeria and India will have to be phased out. This segment will become more competitive, as Airbus A400M, Kawasaki C-2, and Xi’an Y-20 are expected to consolidate in the market.

Fleet obsolescence will be high in the medium and light transport segments. C-130-based platforms form the majority of medium transport solutions in use today. Most of the old C-130 variants will have to be phased out during the study period. Japan will phase out its medium transport fleet by inducting the Kawasaki C-2 in large numbers, while other countries are likely to procure the latest C-130J solution or Chinese/Russian options. Delays in the A-400M program have forced major European nations such as France and Germany toward C-130 life extensions and stopgap procurement of the C-130J. Embraer’s KC-390 will be introduced in the short-to-medium term, which is likely to pose competition to Lockheed Martin’s medium transport procurement programs. KC-390 procurement has already been committed to by countries such as Brazil and Argentina. The OEM is working toward securing a foothold in the European market through a possible contract for medium transports from Portugal. The continuing US Marine Corps’ V-22 Osprey light transport procurement program drives the forecast spending during the first half of the study period.

Demand for mid-air refuel aircraft is high in the Asia-Pacific and South Asian regions and will continue to remain so throughout the next decade, as countries such as India, South Korea, and China will procure new tankers. In the North American region, KC-46A deliveries are set to begin in 2018, after some delay.

The VIP segment offers significant opportunities during the medium and long terms. The inventory mix in this segment is diverse, as nations operate a number of different aircraft types. To reduce logistical impediments and associated high operational costs, nations will be interested in rationalizing platform types as part of new procurement programs.

The prevalent and future operational requirement of major spenders will be: short take off and landing from semi-prepared runways, low maintenance and operational costs (including fuel-efficient engines), multi-role capability to lower logistics and inventory costs, and the ability to take off and land in high-altitude bases. Modernization and upgrades will be oriented towards life extension, avionics upgrades (especially glass cockpit), and the addition of active protection systems.

Joint development and indigenous manufacturing is seen in some markets. Taqnia of Saudi Arabia has partnered with Antonov to develop An-132D and plans to build it in Saudi Arabia by 2020. In India, local company Tata Advanced Systems Ltd. is partnering with Airbus DS to offer the C-295 solution for replacing old Avro aircraft.

Author: Arjun Sreekumar

Table of Contents

Key Findings

Key Findings (continued)

Market Engineering Measurements

CEO’s Perspective

Transport Aircraft Market—Top Countries with New Opportunities

Market Scope

Market Definitions—Segments

Market Definitions—Others

Key Questions this Study will Answer

Market Drivers

Drivers Explained

Drivers Explained (continued)

Drivers Explained (continued)

Market Restraints

Restraints Explained

Market Engineering Measurements

Military Transport Aircraft Inventory

Revenue Forecast

Revenue Forecast by Segment

Revenue Forecast by Region

Market Share Evolution Analysis—2017 and 2026

Growth Opportunity 1—Flexibility in Strategic and Tactical Airlift Capability

Growth Opportunity 2—Extended Range

Growth Opportunity 3—Multi-mission Customizability

Growth Opportunity 4—Enhanced Survivability

Growth Opportunity 5—Flexible Avionics Architecture and Improved Electronics

Strategic Imperatives for Success and Growth

Evolving Operational Roles and Trends

Evolving Operational Roles and Trends (continued)

Inventory

Popular Operational/Upcoming Solutions

Popular Operational/Upcoming Solutions (continued)

Popular Operational/Upcoming Solutions (continued)

Market Engineering Measurements

Revenue Forecast

Inventory

Popular Operational/Upcoming Solutions

Popular Operational/Upcoming Solutions (continued)

Market Engineering Measurements

Revenue Forecast

Inventory

Popular Operational/Upcoming Solutions

Popular Operational/Upcoming Solutions (continued)

Popular Operational/Upcoming Solutions (continued)

Market Engineering Measurements

Revenue Forecast

Inventory

Popular Operational/Upcoming Solutions

Popular Operational/Upcoming Solutions (continued)

Popular Operational/Upcoming Solutions (continued)

Popular Operational/Upcoming Solutions (continued)

Market Engineering Measurements

Revenue Forecast

Inventory

Popular Operational/Upcoming Solutions

Popular Operational/Upcoming Solutions (continued)

Popular Operational/Upcoming Solutions (continued)

Market Engineering Measurements

Revenue Forecast

Africa—Introduction

Africa—Key Findings

Africa—Revenue Forecast by Segment

Africa—Brief

Algeria—Snapshot

Algeria—Snapshot (continued)

Angola—Snapshot

Benin—Snapshot

Cameroon—Snapshot

Djibouti—Snapshot

Democratic Republic of Congo—Snapshot

Egypt—Snapshot

Egypt—Snapshot (continued)

Eritrea—Snapshot

Ethiopia—Snapshot

Equatorial Guinea—Snapshot

Ghana—Snapshot

Kenya—Snapshot

Lesotho—Snapshot

Libya—Snapshot

Malawi—Snapshot

Mauritania—Snapshot

Morocco—Snapshot

Morocco—Snapshot (continued)

Mozambique—Snapshot

Niger—Snapshot

Nigeria—Snapshot

Republic of Congo—Snapshot

Senegal—Snapshot

South Africa—Snapshot

South Africa—Snapshot (continued)

Tunisia—Snapshot

Asia-Pacific—Introduction

Asia-Pacific—Key Findings

Asia-Pacific—Revenue Forecast by Segment

Asia-Pacific—Brief

Australia—Snapshot

Australia—Snapshot (continued)

Cambodia—Snapshot

China—Snapshot

China—Snapshot (continued)

Indonesia—Snapshot

Indonesia—Snapshot (continued)

Japan—Snapshot

Japan—Snapshot (continued)

Laos—Snapshot

Mongolia—Snapshot

Malaysia—Snapshot

Myanmar—Snapshot

New Zealand—Snapshot

Papua New Guinea—Snapshot

The Philippines—Snapshot

South Korea—Snapshot

Singapore—Snapshot

China—Snapshot

Thailand—Snapshot

Vietnam—Snapshot

Central and South America—Introduction

Central and South America—Key Findings

Central and South America—Revenue Forecast by Segment

Central and South America—Brief

Argentina—Snapshot

The Bahamas—Snapshot

Belize—Snapshot

Bolivia—Snapshot

Brazil—Snapshot

Chile—Snapshot

Chile—Snapshot (continued)

Colombia—Snapshot

Colombia—Snapshot (continued)

Cuba—Snapshot

Dominican Republic—Snapshot

Ecuador—Snapshot

Ecuador—Snapshot (continued)

Guatemala—Snapshot

Guyana—Snapshot

Mexico—Snapshot

Nicaragua—Snapshot

Panama—Snapshot

Paraguay—Snapshot

Peru—Snapshot

Peru—Snapshot (continued)

Uruguay—Snapshot

Venezuela—Snapshot

Venezuela—Snapshot (continued)

Central and South Asia—Introduction

Central and South Asia—Key Findings

Central and South Asia—Revenue Forecast by Segment

Central and South Asia—Brief

Central and South Asia—Brief (continued)

Afghanistan—Snapshot

Armenia—Snapshot

Azerbaijan—Snapshot

Bangladesh—Snapshot

Belarus—Snapshot

India—Snapshot

India—Snapshot (continued)

Kazakhstan—Snapshot

Nepal—Snapshot

Pakistan—Snapshot

Pakistan—Snapshot (continued)

Russia—Snapshot

Turkmenistan—Snapshot

Sri Lanka—Snapshot

Tajikistan—Snapshot

Uzbekistan—Snapshot

Europe—Introduction

Europe—Key Findings

Europe—Revenue Forecast by Segment

Europe—Brief

Europe—Brief (continued)

Austria—Snapshot

Bulgaria—Snapshot

Belgium—Snapshot

Czech Republic—Snapshot

Denmark—Snapshot

Finland—Snapshot

France—Snapshot

France—Snapshot (continued)

Georgia—Snapshot

Germany—Snapshot

Greece—Snapshot

Greece—Snapshot (continued)

Hungary—Snapshot

Italy—Snapshot

Italy—Snapshot (continued)

Moldova—Snapshot

Norway—Snapshot

Poland—Snapshot

Portugal—Snapshot

Romania—Snapshot

Serbia—Snapshot

Slovakia—Snapshot

Slovenia—Snapshot

Spain—Snapshot

Spain—Snapshot (continued)

Sweden—Snapshot

Switzerland—Snapshot

Ukraine—Snapshot

Ukraine—Snapshot (continued)

The United Kingdom—Snapshot

The United kingdom—Snapshot (continued)

The Middle East—Introduction

The Middle East—Key Findings

The Middle East—Revenue Forecast by Segment

The Middle East—Brief

The Middle East—Brief (continued)

Iran—Snapshot

Iraq—Snapshot

Israel—Snapshot

Jordan—Snapshot

Jordan—Snapshot (continued)

Kuwait—Snapshot

Oman—Snapshot

Qatar—Snapshot

Saudi Arabia—Snapshot

Saudi Arabia—Snapshot (continued)

Turkey—Snapshot

Turkey—Snapshot (continued)

United Arab Emirates—Snapshot

United Arab Emirates—Snapshot (continued)

North America—Introduction

North America—Key Findings

North America—Revenue Forecast by Segment

North America—Brief

Canada—Snapshot

The United States—Snapshot

The United States—Snapshot (continued)

The United States—Snapshot (continued)

The United States—Snapshot (continued)

The United States—Snapshot (continued)

The Last Word

Legal Disclaimer

List of Abbreviations

List of Abbreviations (continued)

List of Exhibits

List of Exhibits (continued)

List of Exhibits (continued)

List of Exhibits (continued)

List of Exhibits (continued)

List of Exhibits (continued)

List of Exhibits (continued)

List of Exhibits (continued)

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List of Exhibits (continued)

List of Exhibits (continued)

List of Exhibits (continued)

List of Exhibits (continued)

List of Exhibits (continued)

The Frost & Sullivan Story

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Industry Convergence

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Our Blue Ocean Strategy

Geopolitical situations across the globe have fueled a rise in active engagements with insurgents and non-state actors. This leads to an increase in the operational tempo of transport fleet, as a result of which aging aircraft need to be replaced. A collaborative approach in combating these challenges is seen, as exemplified in the actions of the Arab coalition led by Saudi Arabia, which fought Yemeni rebels, and the NATO MRTT program, which envisages the joint operation and maintenance of airborne tanker aircraft. At the same time, China and Russia have made expansionist moves in the South/East China Sea and Crimea, respectively, and have indicated possible enhanced participation in global conflicts. Russian intervention in Syria attests to this fact. Both the nations are poised to expand their strategic lift and tactical transport capabilities. The market will open up for heavy transports as old Il-76 used by countries such as Algeria and India will have to be phased out. This segment will become more competitive, as Airbus A400M, Kawasaki C-2, and Xi’an Y-20 are expected to consolidate in the market. Fleet obsolescence will be high in the medium and light transport segments. C-130-based platforms form the majority of medium transport solutions in use today. Most of the old C-130 variants will have to be phased out during the study period. Japan will phase out its medium transport fleet by inducting the Kawasaki C-2 in large numbers, while other countries are likely to procure the latest C-130J solution or Chinese/Russian options. Delays in the A-400M program have forced major European nations such as France and Germany toward C-130 life extensions and stopgap procurement of the C-130J. Embraer’s KC-390 will be introduced in the short-to-medium term, which is likely to pose competition to Lockheed Martin’s medium transport procurement programs. KC-390 procurement has already been committed to by countries such as Brazil and Argentina. The OEM is working toward s
More Information
No Index No
Podcast No
Author Arjun Sreekumar
Industries Aerospace, Defence and Security
WIP Number MD44-01-00-00-00
Is Prebook No
GPS Codes 9000-A1