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Chinese Thrust to Propel Global Light-medium-heavy Duty Electric Truck Market to More than 2.5 Million Units in Annual Sales by 2025
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This study provides an overview of the opportunities in the global medium heavy-duty electric truck market in the period 2016–2025. The study reveals that the Chinese electric truck market will be the global electric medium heavy-duty truck leader and is expected to be dominated by fully electric trucks with 61.1% market share, followed by plug-in hybrid with 28.5% and hybrid with 10.4%, by 2025. New energy powertrain adoption is likely to increase, especially among medium-duty and heavy-duty trucks in China which is mainly dominated by new trucks models. The North American electric truck market is expected to be dominated by fully electric trucks with 53.3% market share, followed by plug-in hybrid with 30.7% and hybrid with 15.9%, by 2025. The new GHG emission regulations are pushing hard to achieve CO2 and fuel economy standards to satisfy EISA lead-time requirement. The European electric truck market is expected to be dominated by fully electric trucks with 54.6% market share, followed by plug-in hybrid with 37.4%, share and hybrid with 8.0%, by 2025. Several Western European countries are planning to adopt the ICE ban from 2025–2030, with expanding low-emission zones planning to ban diesel and gasoline engines. List of market participants reviewed in the study include AVL, Allison, BAE Systems, BYD, BYD America, Brusa, Chanje, Charge, Daimler, Donfeng, E-Force, Eaton, Emerson, Ennova, Enride, FAW, Foton, Fuso, GINAF, GKN, Geely, Hino Motors, Hitachi, JAC, MAN, Mack Trucks, Medcom, Motiv Power, Nanjin IVECO, Nikola, Nissan, Remy, Renault, Scania, Shaanxi, Siemens, Smith Electric, TM4, Tesla, Toyota, Traktionssysteme, UQM Technologies, VIA, Volvo, ZF, eTraction and many more.
Growing penetration of electric and hybrid powertrain technologies in commercial vehicles, especially within city limits, will drive the demand for new types of drivelines. eAxles and motors mounted adjacent to wheel hubs are new technologies that are gaining traction in heavy-duty trucking applications. Battery prices have decreased by about 50% since 2010 and are expected to further decrease by 50% in the next 4 to 6 years. In batteries, Lithium sulfur is likely to be adopted as the next battery chemistry; however, advancement in lithium-ion technology will be seen.
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