Future of ASEAN, Forecast to 2025

ASEAN’s GDP is forecast to increase from $2.4 Trillion in 2015 to $5.2 Trillion in 2025, largely due to the ongoing implementation of the AEC. This study examines the potential contributions of this integration to regional growth by analysing the impact of various Mega Trends and expanding on the predictions for each sector. It also analyses the new growth drivers and the areas of innovation most likely to seen in ASEAN until 2025. The study’s time frame is from 2015 to 2025.
ASEAN, at the current level of economic growth, is poised to become the fourth-largest market—after EU, US, and China—by 2030, supported by increased skilled workforce, abundant natural resources, and favourable geographic location for trade and commerce.
The huge regional economic integration of ASEAN would make ASEAN a single market and production base and create free movement of goods, services and labour like the European Union. This will boost the intra-regional trade both within ASEAN and among emerging Asia’s economies which will raise the economic growth levels.
Key Questions Addressed:
•     What are the major Mega Trends the region will see in the next 10 years?
•     What would be the impact of these Mega Trends on the economy and businesses of ASEAN?
•     How the integration of ASEAN economy will impact the economy and business of the region
•     What are the future prospects of this region that would lead to attract more global investments and market attention?
Key Features:
•     Extensive research covering 11 Mega Trends that would have the most significant impact on ASEAN
•     Each Mega Trend further divided into sub-trends to identify region-wise opportunities for investments in various sectors
•     A macro-to-micro analysis to understand the unmet needs or inherent business opportunities in relevant industries
Key Topics:
•     Implementation of the ASEAN Economic Community and its predicted effects of the economy of the region
•     The Top 10 companies in ASEAN, in several sectors, including finance, manufacturing, telecommunication, O&G, mining and food production
•     Economy and Trade: The expected growth in ASEAN economy as a result of regional integration, Foreign direct investment, foreign trade agreements, the forecast economic outlook of ASEAN nations until 2025
•     Manufacturing: Contribution of manufacturing to ASEAN’s economy, the shift of manufacturing interest from China to ASEAN, the changing face of manufacturing in ASEAN as a result of technological advances, the growth of the Greater Mekong Sub region
•     Digital trends: Connectivity in ASEAN, Internet economy, mobile economy, effects of an increasing digital population on businesses in ASEAN
•     Infrastructure: Infrastructure funds in ASEAN, airports, rail network, ports, energy infrastructure
•     Urbanization trends: Mega Cities, Mega Regions, Mega Corridors, and urbanization rate
•     Social Trends: Demographic trends, middle class growth, women empowerment, and income distribution, consumer expenditure
•     Future of energy: energy production and consumption, smart grids
•     Future of mobility: multi-modal transport system, drone delivery, port automation, electronic road pricing, ride sharing apps, electric vehicles
•     Future of Aviation: Open skies policy as a result of AEC, Airport traffic outlook, Aviation revenue
•     Health and wellness: ASEAN healthcare revenue growth, healthcare opportunities, healthcare policies, healthcare services disparity across the region, healthcare IT trends
Future of Governance: South China Sea dispute, eGovernance, Government budgets,
ASEAN, a collaboration of 10 Southeast Asian nations (Brunei Darussalam, Myanmar, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand and Vietnam), is one of the fastest growing regions in Asia. Its growth over the next 10 years is expected to be driven by Mega Trends in various sectors. It is imperative that business and organizations with interests in the region equip themselves fully with knowledge on the present landscape and forecast changes, particularly as a result of the ongoing regional economic integration initiatives.

1. Executive Summary
●   Top 10 Facts on the Future of ASEAN
●   Key Findings
●   The Frost & Sullivan ASEAN Index
●   Future of ASEAN—An Integrated Single Market
●   ASEAN Middle Class—363M people or 52% of the Population by 2025
●   Manufacturing—Expansion from China to ASEAN
●   Case Study—Singapore, ASEAN’s High-Value Manufacturing Capital
●   Connectivity in ASEAN
●   ASEAN Online Retail Sector to be Boosted by Increased Connectivity
●   Future of ASEAN Infrastructure
●   ASEAN Mega Regions—3 Mega Regions to Emerge in ASEAN by 2025
●   Social Trends—Population by Country
●   Future of Energy
●   Key Mobility Predictions for ASEAN, 2025
●   ASEAN Healthcare Policies & Business Opportunities
●   High Number of ASEAN FTAs to Accelerate Trade Growth
2. Research Scope, Objective, and Methodology
●   Research Scope
●   Research Aims and Objectives
●   Research Background
●   Research Methodology—From Macro to Micro
●   Definitions Used in the Study
●   List of Acronyms and Abbreviations
●   ASEAN Ranking Research Methodology
3. The ASEAN Top 10
●   The Frost & Sullivan ASEAN Index
●   Parameters Used in the Frost & Sullivan ASEAN Index
●   Top ASEAN Companies by 2015 Revenue in Each Sector
●   Top 10 ASEAN Finance Companies, 2016
●   Top 10 ASEAN Manufacturing Companies, 2016
●   Top 10 ASEAN Telecommunication Companies, 2016
●   Top 10 ASEAN Infrastructure Companies, 2016
●   Top 10 ASEAN O&G Companies, 2016
●   Top 10 ASEAN Mining Companies, 2016
●   Top 10 ASEAN Food Producers, 2016
●   Top 10 ASEAN Energy Companies, 2016
●   Top 10 ASEAN Transportation Companies, 2016
●   Top 10 ASEAN Healthcare Companies, 2016
●   Top 10 Fastest Growing ASEAN Sectors, 2015
●   Top 10 ASEAN Cities of the Future (2015—2025)
4. Economic Trends
●   Economic Trends—Highlights
●   2025 ASEAN Economic Dashboard
●   Future of the ASEAN Economy
●   2025 ASEAN Economic Outlook
●   ASEAN FDI Stock to be Worth $3.6 Trillion by 2025
●   ASEAN Economic Community—Timeline
●   High Number of ASEAN FTAs to Accelerate Trade Growth
●   ASEAN Member Nations in Negotiations for 3 Mega Regional FTAs
●   Implementation of AEC
●   Future of ASEAN Trade—Impact of AEC
5. Future of Manufacturing
●   Future of Manufacturing—Highlights
●   The Diverse Manufacturing Hotspots of ASEAN
●   Contribution of Manufacturing to ASEAN Economy
●   The Changing Face of Manufacturing in ASEAN
●   Future of Manufacturing in ASEAN
●   Shift in Manufacturing Focus from China to ASEAN
●   Manufacturing Expansion from China to ASEAN
●   The Greater Mekong Subregion
●   Future of ASEAN Manufacturing
●   Future of ASEAN
●   Key Challenges for ASEAN Manufacturers in 2025
●   Case Study—Thailand, the ASEAN Hub of Automotive Manufacturing
●   Case Study—Singapore, ASEAN’s High-Value Manufacturing Capital
●   ASEAN Food and Beverage Manufacturing
●   Future of ASEAN Manufacturing—Opportunities
6. Digital Trends
●   Digital Trends—Highlights
●   Connectivity in ASEAN
●   Digital Trends—Social Media in ASEAN
●   Future of ASEAN Connectivity
●   ASEAN Online Retail Sector to be Boosted by Increased Connectivity
●   Connectivity in ASEAN
●   ASEAN Online Retail Opportunities
●   ASEAN Retail Sector
●   ASEAN Online Retail Platforms
7. Future of Infrastructure
●   Future of Infrastructure—Highlights
●   ASEAN Infrastructure Investment
●   ASEAN Infrastructure Fund (AIF)
●   Future of ASEAN Infrastructure
●   ASEAN Land Transportation Infrastructure Development
●   ASEAN Infrastructure—Maritime
●   ASEAN Energy Infrastructure Development until 2025
●   Trans-ASEAN Regional Gas Grid
●   Future of ASEAN Infrastructure—Rail Network
●   ASEAN Infrastructure—Airports
●   Green Buildings Market Dynamics
8. Urbanization Trends
●   Urbanization Trends—Highlights
●   Main Trends in Urbanization
●   ASEAN Mega Cities—Five Mega Cities to Emerge in ASEAN by 2025
●   Fastest Growing ASEAN Cities
●   Mega City Case Study—Jakarta
●   ASEAN Mega Regions—3 Mega Regions to Emerge in ASEAN by 2025
●   Mega City Case Study—Malaysia
●   ASEAN Smart and Sustainable Cities
●   Case Study—Iskandar Smart City
●   ASEAN Mega Corridors
●   Elements of ASEAN Smart Cities
●   Singapore—An Aspirational Asian Smart City
●   Smart Traffic Management in Manila, Philippines
●   Urbanization Trends—Implications
9. Social Trends
●   Social Trends—Highlights
●   ASEAN’s Population Predicted to Reach 697 Million by 2025
●   Social Trends—Population Growth By Country
●   Social Trends—Gen Y Population by Country
●   Social Trends—Labor Pool
●   Social Trends—Job Opportunities
●   ASEAN Middle Class—363M People or 52% of the Population by 2025
●   Future of ASEAN Retail—Consumer Trends
●   Population— Other Indicators
●   Social Trends—Gender Gap
●   Social Trends—Female Work Participation
●   Future of ASEAN—Gender Equality
10. Future of Energy
●   Future of Energy—Highlights
●   ASEAN Energy Landscape
●   Future of Energy
●   ASEAN Energy in the Age of Gas
●   LNG and Regasification Case Study—Indonesia
●   LNG and Regasification Case Study—Malaysia
●   Smart Grid Case Study—Putrajaya and Malacca in Malaysia
●   Tenaga Nasional Smart Meter Technology Roadmap
●   Future of ASEAN Smart Markets
11. Future of Mobility
●   Future of Mobility—Highlights
●   Key Mobility Predictions for ASEAN, 2025
●   Application of Technology to Ease Road Congestions in ASEAN Cities
●   Increasing Popularity of Mobile Apps for Transport in ASEAN
●   Future of Mobility—Automation
●   Future of Mobility—Urban Transportation
●   Future of Mobility—Multimodal Transport Options
●   Multi Modal Transport Options in Major ASEAN cities
●   Future of Mobility—Electric Vehicles
12. Future of Aviation
●   Future of Aviation—Highlights
●   ASEAN Aviation—Airport Traffic Outlook
●   Future of ASEAN Aviation
●   Future of ASEAN Aviation—Drivers
13. Health and Wellness
●   Health and Wellness—Highlights
●   ASEAN Healthcare Landscape
●   ASEAN Healthcare Services—Disparity Among Countries
●   ASEAN Healthcare Policies & Business Opportunities
●   ASEAN Healthcare Markets—Growth Forecast
●   ASEAN Healthcare—Market Trends
●   Future of ASEAN Healthcare—Impact of AEC on Healthcare
●   Future of ASEAN Healthcare—Areas of Opportunities
●   Key Trends in Healthcare Technologies
●   Mega Trends Impacting Growth of Healthcare IT in APAC
●   Future of ASEAN Healthcare—Remote Patient Monitoring
●   Future of ASEAN Healthcare—Aged Care
●   Future of ASEAN Healthcare—Medical Devices
●   Future of ASEAN Healthcare—Opportunities
●   Universal Health Coverage Roadmap in Select ASEAN Countries
●   Case Study—Integrated Health Information System, Singapore
14. Future of Governance
●   South China Sea Dispute a Test of Unity for ASEAN
●   eGovernance—the Key to Transparency in ASEAN Nations
●   Very Slight Increases Forecast in ASEAN Government Budgets
15. Future of ASEAN (In Summary)
●   Future of ASEAN—An Integrated Single Market
●   Full Implementation of AEC to Boost ASEAN Economic Growth
●   ASEAN to Become the World’s Next Factory Floor
●   Growing Number of ASEAN Netizens to Drive Online Retail Growth
●   Advancements in ASEAN Infrastructure to Support AEC Integration
●   ASEAN Food and Beverage Market to Develop New Tastes
●   High Urbanization Rates to Drive ASEAN Population to Cities
●   Increased Consumption by the Middle Class to Boost Retail Sales
●   Gas to Become ASEAN’s Main Energy Source
●   Higher Demand for Intra-ASEAN Travel due to AEC
●   Evolution of Healthcare Services to Meet the Needs of the Bulging Middle Class
●   Legal Disclaimer
16. The Frost & Sullivan Story

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1. Case Studies of Major Manufacturer’s Shift from China to ASEAN
2. Manufacturing Costs in Singapore, 2025
3. Key Digital Indicators, ASEAN, 2015
4. Top Product Categories in online retail (% of total retail of the product), ASEAN, 2025
5. Mega Regions and Potential Mega Regions, ASEAN, 2025
6. Gen Y Population by Country, ASEAN, 2025
7. Healthcare Policies & Business Opportunities, ASEAN, 2015–2025
8. ASEAN FTAs in Effect, 2015
9. Nominal GDP, ASEAN, 2015–2025 ($ Billion)
10. Drivers of Economic Growth, ASEAN, 2016–2025
11. Top 5 FDI Inflow, ASEAN, 2015
12. AEC Implementation Timeline, ASEAN, 2003–2030
13. Pending Mega-Regional Trade Agreement Trade Flows, Global, 2015
14. Manufacturing Hotspots, ASEAN, 2015
15. Average Industrial Land Price, ASEAN, 2015 (per sqm)
16. Average Office Rent, ASEAN, 2015 (per sqm)
17. Top Exports (% of total imports), GMS, 2005–2014
18. Key Challenges in Manufacturing, ASEAN, 2015–2025
19. Automotive Industry, Thailand, 2015
20. Manufacturing Costs in Singapore, 2025
21. Connectivity infrastructure, ASEAN, 2025
22. Major Maritime Ports, ASEAN, 2025
23. Trends in Maritime Infrastructure, ASEAN, 2015–2025
24. Plan of Action for Energy Cooperation (APAEC), ASEAN, 2016–2025
25. Regional Gas Grid, ASEAN, 2015–2025
26. Rail Network, ASEAN, 2025
27. Airport Infrastructure Developments, ASEAN, 2025
28. Mega Cities, ASEAN, 2025
29. Fastest Growing Second-Tier Cities, ASEAN, 2015–2025
30. Mega Cities, Indonesia, 2025
31. Mega Regions and Potential Mega Regions, ASEAN, 2025
32. Urbanisation and the Emergence of Mega Cities and Mega Regions, Malaysia, 2025
33. Smart and Sustainable Cities, ASEAN, 2025
34. Mega Corridors and Transportation Corridors, ASEAN, 2025
35. Other Population Indicators, ASEAN, 2015
36. Social trends, ASEAN, 2015–2025
37. Women’s Empowerment, ASEAN, 2015–2025
38. Gender Equality—Opportunities and Barriers, ASEAN, 2015–2025
39. Energy Predictions, ASEAN, 2015–2025
40. LNG and Regasification Projects, ASEAN, 2015–2025
41. LNG Liquefaction and Regasification Projects, Malaysia, 2015–2025
42. Integrated Urban Transport, ASEAN, 2025
43. Transport Options, ASEAN, 2015
44. Electric Vehicle Trends, ASEAN, 2014–2020
45. Airport Traffic Outlook, ASEAN, 2015–2025
46. Drivers of the Aviation Industry, ASEAN, 2016–2025
47. Healthcare Policies & Business Opportunities, ASEAN, 2015–2025
48. AEC Market Impact, ASEAN, 2015–2025
49. Opportunities in Healthcare, ASEAN, 2015–2025
50. Total Healthcare IT Market: Mega Trends Impacting Healthcare IT, APAC, 2015
51. Universal Health Coverage in Select ASEAN Countries, 2015

1. Middle Income Group Growth Analysis, ASEAN, China, India and LATAM, 2010 and 2025
2. Total Consumer Expenditure, ASEAN, 2015 and 2025
3. Internet Penetration Rate, ASEAN, 2025
4. Online Retail, ASEAN, 2015–2020
5. Gen Y Population (Million), ASEAN, 2015
6. Gen Y Population, ASEAN, 2025
7. Total Electricity Consumption, ASEAN, 2012–2020
8. Number of Concluded FTAs, ASEAN, 2014
9. Nominal GDP, ASEAN, 2015–2025 ($ Billion)
10. Top 5 Trade Partners, ASEAN, 2015, ($ Billion)
11. Trade as % of Global Trade, ASEAN, 2004–2025
12. GDP, ASEAN, 2015, 2020, and 2025
13. Estimated Time Required to Become High-Income Countries, ASEAN
14. Contributions to Additional GDP Growth due to AEC, ASEAN, 2025 (% of GDP)
15. FDI Stock, ASEAN, 2000–2030
16. Intra-ASEAN FDI Inflow
17. Shares by Sector, 2014 (%)
18. Number of Concluded FTAs, ASEAN, 2014
19. Manufacturing Value as a % of GDP, ASEAN, 2014
20. Employment in Each Subsector of Manufacturing, Select ASEAN Countries, 2014
21. GMS Merchandise Imports, Exports & Trade Balance, 2003–2025
22. FDI Flow, Greater Mekong Subregion, 2007–2025 ($ Million)
23. Quality of Trade-Related Infrastructure, ASEAN, 2007, 2014, and 2025
24. Cost to Export, ASEAN, 2005–2025
25. Time to Export, ASEAN, 2005–2025
26. GMS Intra-regional Trade Shares, ASEAN, 2010–2025
27. Automobile Production Capacity, Thailand, 2015
28. Rental Index of Industry Space, Singapore, 2013–2025
29. Packaged Food Retail, ASEAN, 2010–2025
30. Food Exports as a % of Total Exports, ASEAN, 2015
31. Social Media Users, ASEAN, 2015
32. Percentage of Netizens by Age Group, ASEAN, 2015
33. Average Internet Speed, ASEAN, 2015
34. Cost of Broadband as % of Gross Income, ASEAN 2014
35. Online Retail, ASEAN, 2015–2020
36. Retail Sales, Select ASEAN Countries, 2014–2025F
37. Infrastructure Investment Needs, ASEAN, 2025
38. Financing of AIF projects, ASEAN, 2012–2020
39. Building Construction Market Revenue Forecast, ASEAN, 2015–2020
40. Green Buildings Market: Opportunities Matrix, ASEAN, 2015–2025
41. Population by Age Group, ASEAN, 2015, 2025
42. Population by Country, ASEAN, 2025
43. Gen Y Population, ASEAN, 2015 (Million)
44. Gen Y Population, ASEAN, 2025 (Million)
45. Labor Force*, ASEAN, 2025
46. Change in Employment due to AEC, ASEAN, 2025
47. Changes in Wages with AEC Integration, ASEAN, 2025
48. Middle Income Group Growth Analysis, ASEAN, China, India and LATAM, 2010 and 2025
49. Total Consumer Expenditure, ASEAN, 2015 and 2025
50. Female Work Participation, ASEAN, 2015–2025
51. Share of Employment in Major Economic Sectors by Gender, ASEAN, 2015 and 2025
52. Total Electricity Consumption, ASEAN, 2012–2020
53. Installed Capacity, ASEAN, 2010–2025
54. Electric Generation Capacity, ASEAN, 2010–2025
55. % of Fossil & Carbon-free Power Generation, Global, 2030
56. Gas Production, Global, 2010–2025
57. Natural Gas Reserves, ASEAN, 2014
58. Smart Grid Market: Percent Revenue Forecast by Vertical Market, ASEAN, 2013–2019
59. Smart Grid Market: Sales by Country, ASEAN, 2014
60. Impact of Regional Integration on Renewable Energy, ASEAN, 2025
61. Future Mobility, ASEAN, 2025
62. Aviation Revenue, Southeast Asia, 2006–2025
63. Healthcare Market: Lifecycle Analysis by Nations, ASEAN, 2015
64. Country Indices, ASEAN, 2015
65. Private Hospital Service Market: Revenue, Select ASEAN Countries, 2014 and 2025
66. Healthcare Market Value, ASEAN, 2015 and 2025
67. Government Budgets, ASEAN, 2016 and 2020
68. Government Debt-to-GDP Ratio, ASEAN, 2014 and 2020